Reds at Cubs

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
44.6%55.4%
Reds WinCubs Win
4.97Projected Runs 5.54
3Final Score 5

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Luke Weaver (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
182-36.81.605

Jameson Taillon (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
185-65.461.371

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 6-16 at Chicago CubsCIN: Brandon Williamson • CHC: Drew Smyly+145
L 9-20 at Chicago CubsCIN: Ben Lively • CHC: Justin Steele+152
W 6-5 at Chicago CubsCIN: Andrew Abbott • CHC: Marcus Stroman+116
W 9-0 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Graham Ashcraft • LAD: Michael Grove+152
L 2-3 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Luke Weaver • LAD: Emmet Sheehan+174
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 6-16 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Brandon Williamson • CHC: Drew Smyly-152
W 9-20 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Ben Lively • CHC: Justin Steele-162
L 6-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Andrew Abbott • CHC: Marcus Stroman-123
L 0-3 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • STL: Steven Matz+122
W 5-1 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Jameson Taillon • STL: Adam Wainwright+102

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CCurt Casali10-day IL
  • PBen Lively15-day IL
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • LFStuart FairchildRest
  • CTyler StephensonRest

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • RFSeiya SuzukiRest
  • PMarcus Stroman15-day IL
SE 5 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)82°81°79°77°
Humidity57%61%64%66%
Precipitation0%0%0%36%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindSE 5 mphSSE 5 mphS 5 mphSSW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+130+145+133+137+144+137+145+141.8
Cubs-142-155-159-149-154-149-149-141.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+133+144+141+135+141+143+144+141.8
Cubs-145-154-155-160-154-168-154-141.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +140 to +134
Cubs ML moved from +149 to -165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +149 to +141
Cubs ML moved from -154 to -160

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-137+1½-133+1½-135+1½-132+1½-135+1½-132+1½-132+1½-121
Cubs-1½+117-1½+117-1½+115-1½+112-1½+115-1½+112-1½+117-1½+121
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-136+1½-135+1½-138+1½-140+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-121
Cubs-1½+118-1½+115-1½+120-1½+118-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+121

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-105o10½-113o10½-115o10½-118o10-120o10½-118o10-120o10½-107
Underu10-115u10½-103u10½-105u10½-102u10+100u10½-102u10½-102u10½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-105o10½-110o10½-110o10-125o10½+100o10½-120o10-115o10½-107
Underu10½-115u10½-110u10½-110u10+105u10½-120u10½+100u10½+100u10½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-115 to o10½-115
The Under moved from u10+102 to u10-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-115 to o10½-110
The Under moved from u10½-115 to u10-105