Nationals at Reds

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
43.1%56.9%
Nationals WinReds Win
5.00Projected Runs 5.73
6Final Score 3
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Patrick Corbin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
227-115.071.532

Graham Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
206-75.311.505

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Wade Miley • WSN: MacKenzie Gore+118
L 6-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • WSN: Josiah Gray+150
W 3-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • WSN: Jake Irvin+181
L 2-5 at New York MetsWSN: Trevor Williams • NYM: Justin Verlander+210
W 11-6 at New York MetsWSN: Patrick Corbin • NYM: Carlos Carrasco+157
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 3-5 at Chicago CubsCIN: Luke Weaver • CHC: Jameson Taillon+144
L 6-16 at Chicago CubsCIN: Brandon Williamson • CHC: Drew Smyly+145
L 9-20 at Chicago CubsCIN: Ben Lively • CHC: Justin Steele+152
W 6-5 at Chicago CubsCIN: Andrew Abbott • CHC: Marcus Stroman+116
W 9-0 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Graham Ashcraft • LAD: Michael Grove+152

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PHunter Harvey15-day IL
  • PPaolo Espino15-day IL
  • CFVictor Robles60-day IL
  • CIsrael Pineda60-day IL
  • PThad Ward15-day IL
  • 2BLuis GarciaRest

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • CCurt Casali10-day IL
  • CFT.J. FriedlRest
  • RFWill BensonRest
  • LFJake FraleyRest
  • PBen Lively15-day IL
N 4 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
To RightSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)90°89°86°82°
Humidity42%45%51%58%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindN 4 mphN 4 mphNNE 3 mphNNE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+160+168+161+169+171+169+171+174.6
Reds-175-182-196-185-181-185-181-174.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+160+160+162+148+164+155+164+174.6
Reds-175-175-178-175-180-180-175-174.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +161 to +150
Reds ML moved from -192 to -198

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +158 to +148
Reds ML moved from -180 to -190

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-125+1½-113+1½-115+1½-114+1½-115+1½-114+1½-113+1½-104
Reds-1½+105-1½-103-1½-105-1½-106-1½-105-1½-106-1½-103-1½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-125+1½-125+1½-120+1½-115+1½-120+1½-125+1½-115+1½-104
Reds-1½+105-1½+105-1½+102-1½-105-1½+100-1½+105-1½+105-1½+104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-110o10½-118o10½-120o10½-122o10½-120o10½-122o10½-118o10½-111
Underu10½-110u10½+102u10½+100u10½+102u10½+100u10½+102u10½+102u10½+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-105o10½-115o10½-120o10½-125o10½-120o10½-130o10½-115o10½-111
Underu10½-115u10½-105u10½+100u10½+105u10½+100u10½+110u10½+110u10½+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-105 to o10½-115
The Under moved from u10½-105 to u10½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-105 to o10½-120
The Under moved from u10½+100 to u10½-105