Red Sox at Nationals

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
53.0%47.0%
Red Sox WinNationals Win
4.66Projected Runs 4.34
5Final Score 4
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Nick Pivetta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
108-64.161.171

Josiah Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
237-93.691.437

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 3-6 vs Detroit TigersDET: Eduardo Rodriguez • BOS: Kutter Crawford-129
L 6-2 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matt Manning • BOS: Brayan Bello-190
W 2-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tarik Skubal • BOS: Chris Sale-127
W 0-2 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Austin Cox • BOS: James Paxton-219
W 3-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Jordan Lyles • BOS: Nick Pivetta-215
Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 7-8 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Ken Waldichuk • WSN: Trevor Williams-137
W 2-3 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Luis Medina • WSN: Jake Irvin-131
W 2-8 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Paul Blackburn • WSN: Joan Adon-114
L 2-6 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Patrick Corbin • PHI: Aaron Nola+216
L 0-7 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: MacKenzie Gore • PHI: Michael Lorenzen+164

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BLuis UriasRest
  • LFMasataka YoshidaRest
  • -Joely Rodriguez15-day IL
  • CConnor WongRest

Washington Nationals

Status
  • CIsrael Pineda60-day IL
  • PJoan AdonQuestionable
  • PMason Thompson15-day IL
  • PPaolo Espino15-day IL
  • CFVictor Robles60-day IL
SSE 6 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
To LeftSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)78°78°77°76°
Humidity81%84%85%81%
Precipitation9%10%13%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSSE 6 mphSSW 5 mphNW 5 mphWNW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-155-159-172-163-161-163-159-154.3
Nationals+142+149+142+149+151+149+151+154.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-165-165-165-170-167-170-165-154.3
Nationals+140+152+150+143+153+145+153+154.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -155 to -167
Nationals ML moved from +160 to +149

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -159 to -165
Nationals ML moved from +153 to +145

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½-105-1½-103-1½-105-1½-106-1½-110-1½-106-1½-103-1½+104
Nationals+1½-115+1½-113+1½-115+1½-114+1½-110+1½-114+1½-110+1½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½-105-1½-105-1½-103-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½-103-1½+104
Nationals+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9½+102o9-120o9½+105o9½-105o9½+105o9½+105o9½+114
Underu9-105u9½-118u9+100u9½-125u9½-115u9½-125u9½-115u9½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9½-105o9½-105o9½+105o9½-105o9½-105o9½+105o9½+114
Underu9-105u9½-115u9½-115u9½-125u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-112 to u9½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-125 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9½-125