Guardians at Astros

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
50.9%49.1%
Guardians WinAstros Win
4.62Projected Runs 4.53
2Final Score 8
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Logan Allen (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-310.972.344

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 3-2 at Houston AstrosCLE: Triston McKenzie • HOU: Justin Verlander+161
L 9-10 at Houston AstrosCLE: Carlos Carrasco • HOU: Hunter Brown+154
L 3-4 at Atlanta BravesCLE: Ben Lively • ATL: Bryce Elder+146
W 4-2 at Atlanta BravesCLE: Tanner Bibee • ATL: Charlie Morton+152
L 2-6 at Atlanta BravesCLE: Logan Allen • ATL: Chris Sale+235
Houston Astros
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Triston McKenzie • HOU: Justin Verlander-170
W 9-10 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Carlos Carrasco • HOU: Hunter Brown-163
W 8-2 vs Colorado RockiesHOU: Framber Valdez • COL: Austin Gomber-230
W 12-4 vs Colorado RockiesHOU: Ronel Blanco • COL: Cal Quantrill-205
L 1-3 at Chicago CubsHOU: Justin Verlander • CHC: Javier Assad-141

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PShane BieberOut for Season
  • PEli Morgan15-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • PCristian Javier15-day IL
  • PPenn Murfee60-day IL
  • SSGrae Kessinger10-day IL
  • PBennett SousaOut for Season
  • LFChas McCormick10-day IL
SSE 10 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)75°75°75°76°
Humidity90%90%90%89%
Precipitation0%0%0%27%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSE 10 mphSE 9 mphSE 9 mphSE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+130+122+117+120+123+120+123+125.2
Astros-142-132-140-132-133-132-132-125.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+118+128+127+120+126+125+128+125.2
Astros-128-138-139-135-137-135-135-125.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +109 to +103
Astros ML moved from -124 to -136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 40.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +117 to +109
Astros ML moved from -129 to -135

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-170+1½-163+1½-175+1½-172+1½-170+1½-172+1½-163+1½-159
Astros-1½+150-1½+147-1½+150-1½+152-1½+150-1½+152-1½+152-1½+159
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-170+1½-165+1½-166+1½-165+1½-175+1½-165+1½-165+1½-159
Astros-1½+150-1½+145-1½+147-1½+145-1½+155-1½+145-1½+155-1½+159

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o9-113o9-110o9-112o9-110o9-112o9-110o9-102
Underu9½-110u9-103u9-110u9-108u9-110u9-108u9-103u9+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9-110o9-120o9-115o9-120o9-120o9-110o9-102
Underu9½-115u9-110u9+100u9-105u9+100u9+100u9+100u9+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9-102 to u9-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9+105 to u9-104