Guardians at Astros

Updated

Cleveland Guardians

(92-69)
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
37.4%62.6%
Guardians WinAstros Win
3.44Projected Runs 4.75
3Final Score 2

Houston Astros

(88-73)
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Triston McKenzie (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-24.911.682

Justin Verlander (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-01.741.065

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 9-10 at Houston AstrosCLE: Carlos Carrasco • HOU: Hunter Brown+154
L 3-4 at Atlanta BravesCLE: Ben Lively • ATL: Bryce Elder+146
W 4-2 at Atlanta BravesCLE: Tanner Bibee • ATL: Charlie Morton+152
L 2-6 at Atlanta BravesCLE: Logan Allen • ATL: Chris Sale+235
W 4-6 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Chase Anderson • CLE: Triston McKenzie-125
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 9-10 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Carlos Carrasco • HOU: Hunter Brown-163
W 8-2 vs Colorado RockiesHOU: Framber Valdez • COL: Austin Gomber-230
W 12-4 vs Colorado RockiesHOU: Ronel Blanco • COL: Cal Quantrill-205
L 1-3 at Chicago CubsHOU: Justin Verlander • CHC: Javier Assad-141
L 3-4 at Chicago CubsHOU: Spencer Arrighetti • CHC: Jameson Taillon-103

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PEli Morgan15-day IL
  • PShane BieberOut for Season

Houston Astros

Status
  • PCristian Javier15-day IL
  • PPenn Murfee60-day IL
  • SSGrae Kessinger10-day IL
  • PBennett SousaOut for Season
SE 10 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To LeftSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)76°75°75°74°
Humidity84%87%89%90%
Precipitation40%40%44%31%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSE 10 mphSE 9 mphSE 8 mphSE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+157+158+154+163+165+163+165+168.4
Astros-172-172-186-178-175-178-172-168.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+155+155+160+155+160+161+161+168.4
Astros-170-170-176-170-175-176-170-168.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Guardians: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +172 to +165
Astros ML moved from -181 to -188

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Guardians: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +161 to +155
Astros ML moved from -170 to -178

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-145+1½-128+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-128+1½-119
Astros-1½+125-1½+112-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+112-1½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-150+1½-135+1½-136+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-119
Astros-1½+130-1½+115-1½+118-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+118-1½+119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-113o8½-110o9+110o8½-115o9+110o8½-110o9+119
Underu8½-120u8½-103u8½-110u9-130u8½-105u9-130u8½-103u9-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o9-110o8½-110o8½-110o9+119
Underu8½-115u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u9-110u8½-110u9-110u9-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-125 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-118 to u8½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 70.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½-110
Nationals at Rangers
Dodgers at Diamondbacks