Twins at Guardians

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
47.7%52.3%
Twins WinGuardians Win
4.48Projected Runs 4.72
2Final Score 3
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Simeon Woods Richardson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-03.241.24

Triston McKenzie (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-33.541.377

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 5-0 vs New York YankeesNYY: Clarke Schmidt • MIN: Joe Ryan-112
L 4-0 vs New York YankeesNYY: Marcus Stroman • MIN: Pablo López-130
L 5-1 vs New York YankeesNYY: Carlos Rodón • MIN: Chris Paddack+107
W 5-1 at Toronto Blue JaysMIN: Bailey Ober • TOR: Alek Manoah-115
L 8-10 at Toronto Blue JaysMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • TOR: Kevin Gausman+131
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 0-4 at Texas RangersCLE: Carlos Carrasco • TEX: Jon Gray+178
W 7-4 at Texas RangersCLE: Ben Lively • TEX: Jack Leiter+110
W 7-0 at Texas RangersCLE: Tanner Bibee • TEX: Michael Lorenzen-105
W 7-0 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Logan Allen • CHW: Michael Soroka-164
L 1-3 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Triston McKenzie • CHW: Mike Clevinger-170

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • -Daniel Duarte60-day IL
  • DHByron Buxton10-day IL
  • PBrock Stewart15-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PEli Morgan15-day IL
  • LFSteven Kwan10-day IL
WNW 3 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)67°66°64°63°
Humidity82%84%87%90%
Precipitation22%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyMostly CloudyCloudyCloudy
WindWNW 3 mphW 2 mphWSW 2 mphSSW 2 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+115+113+109+118+117+118+118+122.4
Guardians-125-123-131-128-127-128-123-122.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+105+114+116+107+110+114+116+122.4
Guardians-115-124-127-122-120-124-120-122.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +101 to -101
Guardians ML moved from -122 to -131

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +112 to +106
Guardians ML moved from -118 to -127

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-210+1½-183+1½-195+1½-190+1½-190+1½-190+1½-183+1½-174
Guardians-1½+175-1½+162-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+174
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-200+1½-185+1½-187+1½-200+1½-190+1½-190+1½-185+1½-174
Guardians-1½+175-1½+165-1½+165-1½+170-1½+170-1½+165-1½+170-1½+174

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-118o8½+100o8-117o8-120o8-117o8-117o8-106
Underu8-115u8+102u8½-120u8-103u8+100u8-103u8+102u8+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8½-105o8½-105o8½+100o8½-105o8½+100o8½+100o8-106
Underu8-110u8½-115u8½-115u8½-120u8½-115u8½-120u8½-115u8+106

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8½+100
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8½-120