Padres at Braves

Updated
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
36.4%63.6%
Padres WinBraves Win
4.08Projected Runs 5.51
3Final Score 1
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Matt Waldron (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-55.491.449

Max Fried (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
83-13.571.037

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 8-0 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Austin Gomber • SDP: Michael King-237
L 6-3 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Cal Quantrill • SDP: Dylan Cease-280
L 5-4 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Dakota Hudson • SDP: Randy Vásquez-210
W 0-4 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Walker Buehler • SDP: Yu Darvish-107
L 5-0 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: James Paxton • SDP: Matt Waldron+135
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 7-1 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Javier Assad • ATL: Charlie Morton-179
W 0-7 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jameson Taillon • ATL: Chris Sale-180
W 0-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Shota Imanaga • ATL: Reynaldo López-127
L 3-4 at New York MetsATL: Bryce Elder • NYM: Luis Severino+100
W 4-1 at New York MetsATL: Max Fried • NYM: Christian Scott-150

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PJoe Musgrove15-day IL
  • PLuis PatinoOut for Season

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PPierce Johnson15-day IL
  • PTyler Matzek15-day IL
  • 3BAustin RileyRest
SSE 7 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)69°68°67°67°
Humidity85%86%88%90%
Precipitation38%31%23%17%
ConditionThunderstormsDrizzleMostly CloudyCloudy
WindSSE 7 mphSSE 5 mphSE 5 mphSE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+195+187+180+188+187+188+188+194.5
Braves-216-207-220-208-205-208-205-194.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+189+185+190+190+189+190+190+194.5
Braves-210-210-210-210-210-210-210-194.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +194 to +187
Braves ML moved from -230 to -240

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +195 to +185
Braves ML moved from -210 to -227

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-120+1½-113+1½-110+1½-112+1½-115+1½-112+1½-110+1½-102
Braves-1½+100-1½-103-1½-110-1½-108-1½-105-1½-108-1½-103-1½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-120+1½-115+1½-109+1½-110+1½-115+1½-110+1½-109+1½-102
Braves-1½+100-1½-105-1½-109-1½-110-1½-105-1½-110-1½-105-1½+102

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-113o8-120o8-113o8-115o8-113o8-113o8-103
Underu8½-120u8-103u8+100u8-107u8-105u8-107u8+100u8+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-115o8-115o8½+100o8½+100o8-115o8-115o8-103
Underu8½-120u8-105u8-105u8½-120u8½-120u8-105u8½-120u8+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under