Cubs at Braves

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
41.8%58.2%
Cubs WinBraves Win
3.88Projected Runs 4.74
7Final Score 1
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Javier Assad (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
73-01.661.026

Charlie Morton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-03.51.139

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 0-7 at Atlanta BravesCHC: Jameson Taillon • ATL: Chris Sale+176
L 0-2 at Atlanta BravesCHC: Shota Imanaga • ATL: Reynaldo López+127
W 5-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Bailey Falter-110
L 9-10 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Justin Steele • PIT: Paul Skenes-112
W 7-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Javier Assad • PIT: Jared Jones+118
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 0-7 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jameson Taillon • ATL: Chris Sale-180
W 0-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Shota Imanaga • ATL: Reynaldo López-127
L 3-4 at New York MetsATL: Bryce Elder • NYM: Luis Severino+100
W 4-1 at New York MetsATL: Max Fried • NYM: Christian Scott-150
W 4-2 at New York MetsATL: Charlie Morton • NYM: José Quintana-140

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • -Daniel Palencia15-day IL
  • PJordan Wicks15-day IL
  • PKeegan Thompson15-day IL
  • 2BNico HoernerRest
  • PDrew Smyly15-day IL
  • PAdbert Alzolay15-day IL
  • SSDansby Swanson10-day IL
  • PYency Almonte15-day IL

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • RFRonald Acuna Jr.Rest
  • PTyler Matzek15-day IL
  • 3BAustin RileyQuestionable
  • PPierce Johnson15-day IL
WNW 10 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
To LeftModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)76°74°72°70°
Humidity57%61%66%70%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearClearClearClear
WindWNW 10 mphWNW 9 mphWNW 7 mphWNW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+140+163+159+163+163+163+163+168.4
Braves-168-177-194-178-173-178-173-168.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+146+165+167+164+164+165+167+168.4
Braves-160-180-184-179-180-180-179-168.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +165 to +159
Braves ML moved from -176 to -183

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +165 to +157
Braves ML moved from -173 to -180

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-145+1½-123+1½-125+1½-124+1½-125+1½-124+1½-123+1½-113
Braves-1½+125-1½+107-1½+105-1½+104-1½+105-1½+104-1½+107-1½+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-148+1½-125+1½-126+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-113
Braves-1½+130-1½+105-1½+108-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+108-1½+113

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9-103o9-105o8½-128o8½-120o8½-128o8½-120o8½-117
Underu8½+100u9-113u9-115u8½+108u8½+100u8½+108u9-113u8½+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o9+105o9-102o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+105o8½-117
Underu8-110u9-125u9-118u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-118u8½+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o8½-130
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+105 to o9-112
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120