Twins at Reds

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
50.2%49.8%
Twins WinReds Win
4.07Projected Runs 4.07
5Final Score 3
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Bailey Ober (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
237-63.671.128

Hunter Greene (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
194-64.451.402

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 7-0 at Cincinnati RedsMIN: Kenta Maeda • CIN: Fernando Cruz-115
L 3-7 at Cincinnati RedsMIN: Joe Ryan • CIN: Connor Phillips-148
W 4-0 at Chicago White SoxMIN: Sonny Gray • CHW: Dylan Cease-174
L 6-7 at Chicago White SoxMIN: Pablo López • CHW: Touki Toussaint-210
W 10-2 at Chicago White SoxMIN: Bailey Ober • CHW: Jesse Scholtens-168
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 7-0 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Kenta Maeda • CIN: Fernando Cruz+115
W 3-7 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Joe Ryan • CIN: Connor Phillips+138
L 4-8 at New York MetsCIN: Brandon Williamson • NYM: José Quintana+120
W 3-2 at New York MetsCIN: Andrew Abbott • NYM: Tylor Megill+104
W 5-3 at New York MetsCIN: Hunter Greene • NYM: David Peterson+100

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • LFJoey Gallo10-day IL
  • 3BRoyce LewisUnknown
  • POliver Ortega15-day IL
  • SSCarlos Correa10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • SSElly De La CruzRest
  • CTyler StephensonRest
  • CLuke MaileUnknown
  • PNick LodoloOut for Season
  • PGraham Ashcraft60-day IL
  • SSMatt McLain10-day IL
  • PTejay Antone15-day IL
  • CFHarrison Bader10-day IL
  • RFHunter RenfroeRest
  • CEric Yang10-day IL
SSE 6 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)76°79°81°83°
Humidity47%43%40%38%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindSSE 6 mphSE 5 mphSE 6 mphSE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-105+119+112+121+119+121+121+125.3
Reds-105-128-134-131-129-131-128-125.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-105+120+114+112+123+114+123+125.3
Reds-105-130-124-125-133-134-124-125.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +100 to -101
Reds ML moved from -117 to -124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +118 to +110
Reds ML moved from -128 to -134

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-210+1½-183+1½-185+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-167
Reds-1½+175-1½+162-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+162-1½+167
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-200+1½-175+1½-188+1½-190+1½-180+1½-185+1½-175+1½-167
Reds-1½+175-1½+155-1½+166-1½+158-1½+160-1½+155-1½+166-1½+167

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o8½-108o8½-115o9+102o9+105o9+102o8½-108o9+111
Underu9-110u8½-108u8½-105u9-122u9-125u9-122u9-122u9-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o9+111
Underu9-110u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u9-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u8½-103 to u8½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½-105