Twins at Reds

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
54.9%45.1%
Twins WinReds Win
4.97Projected Runs 4.46
7Final Score 0
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Kenta Maeda (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
195-74.51.219

Fernando Cruz (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
11-14.191.207

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 3-7 at Cincinnati RedsMIN: Joe Ryan • CIN: Connor Phillips-148
W 4-0 at Chicago White SoxMIN: Sonny Gray • CHW: Dylan Cease-174
L 6-7 at Chicago White SoxMIN: Pablo López • CHW: Touki Toussaint-210
W 10-2 at Chicago White SoxMIN: Bailey Ober • CHW: Jesse Scholtens-168
W 10-2 at Chicago White SoxMIN: Kenta Maeda • CHW: José Ureña-176
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 3-7 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Joe Ryan • CIN: Connor Phillips+138
L 4-8 at New York MetsCIN: Brandon Williamson • NYM: José Quintana+120
W 3-2 at New York MetsCIN: Andrew Abbott • NYM: Tylor Megill+104
W 5-3 at New York MetsCIN: Hunter Greene • NYM: David Peterson+100
L 2-8 at Detroit TigersCIN: Derek Law • DET: Reese Olson+114

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • POliver Ortega15-day IL
  • SSCarlos CorreaRest
  • LFJoey Gallo10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PGraham Ashcraft60-day IL
  • LFStuart FairchildUnknown
  • SSMatt McLain10-day IL
  • CEric Yang10-day IL
  • CFHarrison Bader10-day IL
  • PTejay Antone15-day IL
  • PNick LodoloOut for Season
SE 3 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)76°73°69°66°
Humidity40%47%53%57%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSE 3 mphSSE 3 mphSE 3 mphESE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-144-118-123-117-119-117-117-111.6
Reds+132+109+103+107+109+107+109+111.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-145-117-119-130-115-130-115-111.6
Reds+127+107+109+115+105+110+115+111.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -112 to -122
Reds ML moved from +115 to +102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Reds: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -116 to -122
Reds ML moved from +118 to +112

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+100-1½+127-1½+125-1½+129-1½+125-1½+129-1½+129-1½+137
Reds+1½-120+1½-143+1½-145+1½-149+1½-145+1½-149+1½-143+1½-137
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+105-1½+125-1½+130-1½+115-1½+125-1½+125-1½+130-1½+137
Reds+1½-125+1½-145+1½-148+1½-135+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-137

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o9½-103o9½-105o9½-104o9½-105o9½-104o9½-103o9½+105
Underu9½-105u9½-113u9½-115u9½-116u9½-115u9½-116u9½-113u9½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o9½-110o9½-110o9½+100o9½-105o9½-105o9½+100o9½+105
Underu9½-105u9½-110u9½-110u9½-120u9½-115u9½-115u9½-110u9½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9½-103 to u9½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+105 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-120 to u9½-130