Mariners at Cubs

Updated
Rank12
R/G4.2
RA/G3.8
57.2%42.8%
Mariners WinCubs Win
4.20Projected Runs 3.44
2Final Score 3

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank12
R/G4.2
RA/G3.8
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-00.00.429

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-111.572.357

Last 5 Games

Seattle Mariners
Money Line
L 6-7 at Cleveland GuardiansSEA: George Kirby • CLE: Zach Plesac-125
W 3-2 at Cleveland GuardiansSEA: Marco Gonzales • CLE: Cal Quantrill+127
W 5-3 at Cleveland GuardiansSEA: Logan Gilbert • CLE: Aaron Civale+115
L 4-3 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Shohei Ohtani • SEA: Chris Flexen+158
W 2-11 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Jose Suarez • SEA: Luis Castillo-165
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 8-2 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jon Gray • CHC: Jameson Taillon-102
W 3-10 vs Texas RangersTEX: Martin Perez • CHC: Justin Steele-117
W 0-2 vs Texas RangersTEX: Nathan Eovaldi • CHC: Marcus Stroman-120
W 12-5 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Hayden Wesneski • CIN: Luis Cessa-125
L 6-7 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Drew Smyly • CIN: Connor Overton-114

Injuries

Seattle Mariners

Status
  • CFTaylor TrammellOut
  • 3BDylan Moore10-day IL
  • PRobbie RayUnknown

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PKyle HendricksUnknown
  • PBrandon HughesUnknown
  • RFSeiya Suzuki10-day IL
SSW 8 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
To LeftModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)64°62°58°56°
Humidity37%42%47%51%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSW 8 mphS 6 mphS 6 mphS 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners-135-149-162-151-148-151-148-143.8
Cubs+125+139+136+139+138+139+139+143.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners-134-148-151-165-161-150-148-143.8
Cubs+123+138+138+140+147+135+147+143.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mariners: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mariners: 0.0%
Cubs: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mariners: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mariners: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mariners ML moved from -141 to -148
Cubs ML moved from +134 to +126

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mariners: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mariners: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mariners: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mariners: 0.0%
Cubs: 60.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mariners ML moved from -150 to -163
Cubs ML moved from +148 to +142

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners-1½+100-1½+107-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+107-1½+114
Cubs+1½-120+1½-123+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-123+1½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners-1½+102-1½+105-1½+103-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+110-1½+114
Cubs+1½-120+1½-125+1½-121+1½-125+1½-125+1½-130+1½-121+1½-114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o9+102o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+102o9+109
Underu8-110u9-118u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-118u9-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o9-105o8½-125o9-105o9-110o9-105o8½-125o9+109
Underu8-105u9-115u8½+105u9-115u9-110u9-115u9-110u9-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o9-105
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-125
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120