Cubs at Twins

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
41.2%58.8%
Cubs WinTwins Win
3.00Projected Runs 3.92
6Final Score 2
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
73-13.050.991

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
74-01.351.1

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 4-10 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jordan Montgomery • CHC: Justin Steele+102
L 6-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jack Flaherty • CHC: Jameson Taillon-111
L 3-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • CHC: Marcus Stroman-113
L 5-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • CHC: Hayden Wesneski+100
W 2-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Matt Barnes • CHC: Drew Smyly-174
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 3-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Yu Darvish • MIN: Bailey Ober+125
W 3-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Seth Lugo • MIN: Pablo Lopez-125
L 6-1 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Michael Wacha • MIN: Louie Varland-109
L 0-2 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Joe Ryan • CLE: Cal Quantrill-152
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Sonny Gray • CLE: Logan Allen+102

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PAdrian SampsonUnknown
  • 2BNico Hoerner10-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • 3BJose MirandaRest
  • PTyler Mahle60-day IL
  • PCaleb ThielbarUnknown
  • PKenta MaedaUnknown
  • RFMax KeplerUnknown
  • LFJoey GalloRest
ESE 10 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)69°67°66°65°
Humidity70%70%69%70%
Precipitation17%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindESE 10 mphE 10 mphE 9 mphE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+143+142+134+143+144+143+144+147.7
Twins-155-152-160-155-154-155-152-147.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+135+138+139+135+143+135+143+147.7
Twins-160-148-152-160-156-160-148-147.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +143 to +135
Twins ML moved from -150 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cubs ML
Twins ML moved from -146 to -154

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-155+1½-153+1½-150+1½-152+1½-155+1½-152+1½-150+1½-140
Twins-1½+135-1½+137-1½+130-1½+132-1½+135-1½+132-1½+137-1½+140
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-160+1½-150+1½-160+1½-150+1½-140
Twins-1½+135-1½+135-1½+136-1½+135-1½+130-1½+140-1½+136-1½+140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½+102o7½+100o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½+102o7½+104
Underu8-110u7½-118u7½-120u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½-110o7½-105o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-105o7½+104
Underu8-115u7½-110u7½-115u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-113 to o8-103
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-120 to u7½-115