Reds at Red Sox

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
38.6%61.4%
Reds WinRed Sox Win
4.58Projected Runs 5.78
5Final Score 4
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Luke Weaver (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
71-25.451.368

James Paxton (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-15.141.357

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 9-8 at Boston Red SoxCIN: Ben Lively • BOS: Brayan Bello+155
W 8-5 at Chicago CubsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • CHC: Drew Smyly+153
W 8-5 at Chicago CubsCIN: Brandon Williamson • CHC: Jameson Taillon+153
W 9-0 at Chicago CubsCIN: Hunter Greene • CHC: Justin Steele+133
L 2-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • CIN: Luke Weaver+115
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 9-8 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Ben Lively • BOS: Brayan Bello-170
L 2-4 at Arizona DiamondbacksBOS: Tanner Houck • ARI: Merrill Kelly+117
W 2-1 at Arizona DiamondbacksBOS: Garrett Whitlock • ARI: Zach Davies-106
W 7-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksBOS: Chris Sale • ARI: Brandon Pfaadt-117
L 3-7 at Los Angeles AngelsBOS: James Paxton • LAA: Tyler Anderson-105

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PDerek LawUnknown
  • PCasey LeguminaUnknown
  • PConnor OvertonOut for Season
  • PReiver Sanmartin60-day IL
  • PNick LodoloUnknown
  • LFT.J. FriedlDoubtful
  • DHJake FraleyRest
  • 1BWil Myers10-day IL
  • CFNick SenzelUnknown
  • LFStuart FairchildRest

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PCorey KluberOut
  • PJohn SchreiberUnknown
  • 2BChristian Arroyo10-day IL
  • RFAlex VerdugoUnknown
  • CReese McGuireRest
  • 1BTriston CasasRest
S 8 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)76°72°69°66°
Humidity41%47%52%59%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindS 8 mphSSW 8 mphSSW 9 mphSSW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+175+144+141+147-+147+147+151.6
Red Sox-191-154-170-159--159-154-151.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+170+147+144+143+147+132+147+151.6
Red Sox-205-157-158-170-161-154-154-151.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +154 to +148
Red Sox ML moved from -162 to -170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +141 to +132
Red Sox ML moved from -155 to -164

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-115+1½-128+1½-125+1½-127-+1½-127+1½-125+1½-116
Red Sox-1½-105-1½+112-1½+105-1½+107--1½+107-1½+112-1½+116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-115+1½-130+1½-133+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-116
Red Sox-1½-105-1½+110-1½+115-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+115-1½+116

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-120o10½-118o10½-120o10½-124-o10½-124o10½-118o10½-113
Underu9½+100u10½+102u10½+100u10½+104-u10½+104u10½+104u10½+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-105o10½-125o10½-120o10½-120o10½-125o10½-125o10½-120o10½-113
Underu10-115u10½+105u10½+100u10½+100u10½+105u10½+105u10½+105u10½+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-115 to o10½-123
The Under moved from u10½+100 to u10½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-105 to o10½-115
The Under moved from u10½+100 to u10½-110