Reds at Cubs

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
42.6%57.4%
Reds WinCubs Win
3.77Projected Runs 4.55
8Final Score 5

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Brandon Williamson (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-03.61.2

Jameson Taillon (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
70-38.11.725

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 9-0 at Chicago CubsCIN: Hunter Greene • CHC: Justin Steele+133
L 2-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • CIN: Luke Weaver+115
W 3-10 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Steven Matz • CIN: Ben Lively+144
L 8-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Adam Wainwright • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+131
W 5-6 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jordan Montgomery • CIN: Brandon Williamson+170
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 9-0 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • CHC: Justin Steele-138
L 10-1 vs New York MetsNYM: Carlos Carrasco • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-101
W 2-4 vs New York MetsNYM: Kodai Senga • CHC: Marcus Stroman-107
W 2-7 vs New York MetsNYM: Tylor Megill • CHC: Drew Smyly-106
L 1-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Justin Steele • PHI: Taijuan Walker+110

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 1BWil Myers10-day IL
  • PCasey LeguminaUnknown
  • PReiver Sanmartin60-day IL
  • PNick LodoloUnknown
  • PConnor OvertonOut for Season
  • PDerek LawUnknown

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PAdrian Sampson60-day IL
  • 1BMatt MervisRest
  • PNick BurdiUnknown
  • -Brad BoxbergerUnknown
  • CFCody Bellinger10-day IL
NNE 8 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)66°64°62°60°
Humidity46%49%52%55%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNNE 8 mphNE 7 mphNE 6 mphNE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+155+148+139+145+151+145+151+149.7
Cubs-165-158-165-157-161-157-157-149.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+146+150+148+143+153+145+153+149.7
Cubs-159-160-163-170-167-170-160-149.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +158 to +151
Cubs ML moved from -162 to -170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +152 to +144
Cubs ML moved from -160 to -168

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-130+1½-133+1½-135+1½-140+1½-130+1½-140+1½-130+1½-128
Cubs-1½+110-1½+117-1½+115-1½+120-1½+110-1½+120-1½+120-1½+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-130+1½-140+1½-135+1½-135+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-128
Cubs-1½+112-1½+120-1½+117-1½+115-1½+110-1½+110-1½+120-1½+128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½-118o8½-115o8½-123o8½-120o8½-123o8½-115o8½-112
Underu9-115u8½+102u8½-105u8½+103u8½+100u8½+103u8½+103u8½+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o8½-115o8½-130o9+105o9+105o8½-115o8½-115o8½-112
Underu9-110u8½-105u8½+110u9-125u9-125u8½-105u8½+110u8½+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-123
The Under moved from u9-125 to u8½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-130
The Under moved from u9-115 to u9-125