Cubs at Marlins

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
44.2%55.8%
Cubs WinMarlins Win
3.58Projected Runs 4.18
10Final Score 14

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Adbert Alzolay (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
204-124.711.162

Jesus Luzardo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
83-57.361.678

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 17-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+200
L 10-0 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • CHC: Jake Arrieta+233
L 6-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Ashby • CHC: Alec Mills+138
L 4-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • CHC: Justin Steele+176
L 9-3 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dylan Cease • CHC: Zach Davies+170
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 7-0 at San Diego PadresMIA: Sandy Alcantara • SDP: Ryan Weathers+146
L 5-6 at San Diego PadresMIA: Braxton Garrett • SDP: Craig Stammen+215
L 3-8 at San Diego PadresMIA: Zach Thompson • SDP: Joe Musgrove+230
L 8-13 at Colorado RockiesMIA: David Hess • COL: Kyle Freeland+155
L 4-7 at Colorado RockiesMIA: Jesus Luzardo • COL: Austin Gomber+152

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PKohl Stewart60-day IL
  • CWillson Contreras10-day IL
  • RFJason Heyward10-day IL
  • 2BNico Hoerner10-day IL
  • PDillon Maples10-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PPablo Lopez10-day IL
  • RFJesus Sanchez10-day IL
  • 1BGarrett Cooper60-day IL
  • 2BJazz Chisholm Jr10-day IL
  • 2BJon BertiUnknown
E 14 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
From LeftSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)85°84°84°83°
Humidity75%77%78%80%
Precipitation10%8%8%8%
ConditionHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindE 14 mphE 15 mphE 14 mphE 15 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+110-+100+108+108+108+108-
Marlins-120--120-118-118-118-118-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+110+106+103+105+108+104+108-
Marlins-120-116-113-115-118-114-113-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Marlins: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +106 to +100
Marlins ML moved from -109 to -116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Marlins: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +109 to +103
Marlins ML moved from -115 to -124

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-200-+1½-210+1½-205+1½-205+1½-205+1½-205-
Marlins-1½+170--1½+175-1½+175-1½+175-1½+175-1½+175-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-195+1½-190+1½-211+1½-190+1½-195+1½-200+1½-190-
Marlins-1½+165-1½+170-1½+185-1½+170-1½+165-1½+175-1½+185-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120-o7½-105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+105-
Underu8+100-u7½-115u7½-125u7½-125u7½-125u7½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100-
Underu7½-110u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+105 to o7½-103
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7½-130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+110 to o7½+100
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-130