Astros at Red Sox

Updated
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
51.9%48.1%
Astros WinRed Sox Win
4.75Projected Runs 4.55
10Final Score 2
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Hunter Brown (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
229-73.981.369

James Paxton (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
209-34.421.435

Last 5 Games

Houston Astros
Money Line
W 5-4 at Boston Red SoxHOU: Spencer Arrighetti • BOS: Josh Winckowski+102
W 8-4 at Boston Red SoxHOU: Ronel Blanco • BOS: Tanner Houck+120
W 6-4 at Texas RangersHOU: Yusei Kikuchi • TEX: José Ureña-128
W 4-2 at Texas RangersHOU: Framber Valdez • TEX: Tyler Mahle-123
L 3-4 at Texas RangersHOU: Hunter Brown • TEX: Andrew Heaney-102
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Spencer Arrighetti • BOS: Josh Winckowski-107
L 8-4 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Ronel Blanco • BOS: Tanner Houck-125
L 4-8 at Kansas City RoyalsBOS: Kutter Crawford • KCR: Cole Ragans+124
W 6-5 at Kansas City RoyalsBOS: Brayan Bello • KCR: Seth Lugo+116
W 9-5 at Kansas City RoyalsBOS: James Paxton • KCR: Brady Singer+119

Injuries

Houston Astros

Status
  • LFChas McCormickRest

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PCooper CriswellOut
  • 3BRafael DeversRest
  • RFTyler O'Neill10-day IL
  • PJustin Slaten15-day IL
WSW 9 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)81°81°82°82°
Humidity45%44%44%43%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyCloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWSW 9 mphWSW 10 mphWSW 10 mphWSW 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-122-140-148-147-140-147-140-139.9
Red Sox+112+130+124+135+130+135+135+139.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-132-136-140-139-135-138-135-139.9
Red Sox+122+126+128+124+125+128+128+139.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 0.0%
Red Sox: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Red Sox: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from -140 to -147
Red Sox ML moved from +127 to +121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 0.0%
Red Sox: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from -128 to -138
Red Sox ML moved from +116 to +110

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-1½+116-1½+107-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+105-1½+110-1½+114
Red Sox+1½-136+1½-123+1½-125+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-123+1½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-1½+115-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+114
Red Sox+1½-135+1½-130+1½-128+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-128+1½-114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½+100o10-113o10-120o10½-102o10-120o10½-102o10-113o10½+107
Underu10½-120u10-103u10+100u10½-118u10+100u10½-118u10+100u10½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-115o10½+100o10½+100o10½+100o10½+100o10½-105o10½+100o10½+107
Underu10-105u10½-120u10½-120u10½-120u10½-120u10½-115u10½-115u10½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-115 to o10½-110
The Under moved from u10+105 to u10+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-110 to o10½-110
The Under moved from u10½-115 to u10½-120