Nationals at Guardians

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.3
43.9%56.1%
Nationals WinGuardians Win
4.13Projected Runs 4.76
5Final Score 2
Rank6
R/G5.0
RA/G3.8
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.3
Rank6
R/G5.0
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Jake Irvin (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
112-53.431.032

Carlos Carrasco (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
92-45.161.456

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 2-3 at Cleveland GuardiansWSN: Mitchell Parker • CLE: Ben Lively+133
L 1-7 at Cleveland GuardiansWSN: Patrick Corbin • CLE: Tanner Bibee+208
W 3-1 at Atlanta BravesWSN: Trevor Williams • ATL: Ray Kerr+166
W 7-2 at Atlanta BravesWSN: MacKenzie Gore • ATL: Spencer Schwellenbach+138
L 0-2 at Atlanta BravesWSN: Jake Irvin • ATL: Max Fried+228
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Mitchell Parker • CLE: Ben Lively-136
W 1-7 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • CLE: Tanner Bibee-215
L 4-7 at Colorado RockiesCLE: Logan Allen • COL: Ty Blach-138
W 13-7 at Colorado RockiesCLE: Triston McKenzie • COL: Ryan Feltner-128
L 6-8 at Colorado RockiesCLE: Xzavion Curry • COL: Anthony Molina-125

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • SSCJ AbramsUnknown
  • RFJacob YoungRest

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PCarlos Carrasco15-day IL
  • 2BAndres GimenezRest
  • RFRamon LaureanoRest
SSW 9 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)66°66°68°69°
Humidity84%83%80%78%
Precipitation27%25%19%19%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSW 9 mphSSW 8 mphSSW 8 mphSSW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+124+115+127+116+116+116+127+120.4
Guardians-135-125-152-126-126-126-125-120.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+130+112+115+116+120+117+120+120.4
Guardians-142-122-125-131-130-127-122-120.4

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 80.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +125 to +118
Guardians ML moved from -135 to -143

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +122 to +116
Guardians ML moved from -134 to -142

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-165+1½-168+1½-160+1½-173+1½-175+1½-173+1½-160+1½-160
Guardians-1½+145-1½+152-1½+135-1½+153-1½+155-1½+153-1½+155-1½+160
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-159+1½-180+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-160
Guardians-1½+140-1½+160-1½+160-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+160-1½+160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8-108o8½-110o8-114o8-110o8-114o8-108o8-104
Underu8½-110u8-108u8½-110u8-106u8-110u8-106u8½-110u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8-110o8-110o8-115o8-115o8-110o8-110o8-104
Underu8½-115u8-110u8-110u8-105u8-105u8-110u8-105u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-117
The Under moved from u8-103 to u8-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-110