Nationals at Braves

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.3
37.7%62.3%
Nationals WinBraves Win
3.40Projected Runs 4.69
3Final Score 1
Rank5
R/G4.3
RA/G3.7
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.3
Rank5
R/G4.3
RA/G3.7

Pitching

Trevor Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
104-02.291.078

Ray Kerr (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 7-2 at Atlanta BravesWSN: MacKenzie Gore • ATL: Spencer Schwellenbach+138
L 0-2 at Atlanta BravesWSN: Jake Irvin • ATL: Max Fried+228
W 8-4 at Atlanta BravesWSN: Mitchell Parker • ATL: Charlie Morton+189
L 9-5 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryan Woo • WSN: Patrick Corbin+160
W 1-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • WSN: Trevor Williams+142
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 7-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • ATL: Spencer Schwellenbach-145
W 0-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jake Irvin • ATL: Max Fried-255
L 8-4 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Mitchell Parker • ATL: Charlie Morton-200
W 8-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesATL: Chris Sale • PIT: Martín Pérez-238
L 1-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesATL: Reynaldo López • PIT: Mitch Keller-150

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • 3BNick SenzelQuestionable

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • RFRonald Acuna Jr.Out for Season
  • PA.J. Minter15-day IL
  • PAJ Smith-Shawver15-day IL
  • PTyler Matzek15-day IL
NW 7 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)80°77°73°70°
Humidity34%40%46%50%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 7 mphNNW 5 mphNNW 4 mphNNW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+190+162+156+163+172+163+172+168.4
Braves-210-176-190-178-182-178-176-168.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+189+165+165+164+166+166+166+168.4
Braves-210-180-182-179-183-182-179-168.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 50.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +178 to +160
Braves ML moved from -205 to -220

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +190 to +173
No Steam Moves On Braves ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-120+1½-123+1½-130+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-123+1½-114
Braves-1½+100-1½+107-1½+110-1½+105-1½+110-1½+105-1½+110-1½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-120+1½-125+1½-124+1½-120+1½-120+1½-125+1½-120+1½-114
Braves-1½+100-1½+105-1½+106-1½+100-1½+100-1½+105-1½+106-1½+114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o9-103o9+105o9+100o9-105o9+100o9+105o9+109
Underu8½-110u9-113u9-125u9-120u9-115u9-120u9-113u9-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+109
Underu8½-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+102 to o9-113
The Under moved from u9-125 to u8½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o9+100
The Under moved from u8½-103 to u8½-110