Braves at Pirates

Updated
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
59.3%40.7%
Braves WinPirates Win
4.69Projected Runs 3.72
1Final Score 4
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Reynaldo López (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-11.541.071

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
105-33.841.279

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 5-11 at Pittsburgh PiratesATL: Ray Kerr • PIT: Bailey Falter-170
W 3-0 at Chicago CubsATL: AJ Smith-Shawver • CHC: Ben Brown+105
W 9-2 at Chicago CubsATL: Max Fried • CHC: Justin Steele-123
L 3-4 at Chicago CubsATL: Charlie Morton • CHC: Javier Assad-116
W 0-3 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Randy Vásquez • ATL: Chris Sale-240
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 5-11 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Ray Kerr • PIT: Bailey Falter+158
L 7-6 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Erik Miller • PIT: Paul Skenes-174
L 9-5 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Blake Snell • PIT: Jared Jones-115
W 6-7 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Logan Webb • PIT: Martín Pérez+119
W 3-2 at Chicago CubsPIT: Mitch Keller • CHC: Jameson Taillon+119

Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PTyler Matzek15-day IL
  • 3BAustin RileyOut
  • PAJ Smith-Shawver15-day IL
  • CTravis D'ArnaudRest

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes10-day IL
W 6 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)76°76°76°75°
Humidity69%69%68%70%
Precipitation20%17%12%27%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindW 6 mphWSW 5 mphWSW 5 mphW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-140-143-153-147-145-147-143-139.9
Pirates+129+133+128+135+135+135+135+139.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-146-150-154-155-150-150-150-139.9
Pirates+134+140+140+140+138+135+140+139.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -148 to -154
Pirates ML moved from +133 to +126

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -145 to -154
Pirates ML moved from +139 to +100

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+107-1½-113-1½+105-1½+107-1½+110-1½+107-1½+110-1½+116
Pirates+1½-127+1½-103+1½-125+1½-127+1½-130+1½-127+1½-103+1½-116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+110-1½+105-1½+106-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+110-1½+116
Pirates+1½-130+1½-125+1½-124+1½-125+1½-125+1½-130+1½-124+1½-116

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-103o8½-105o8½-107o8½-105o8½-107o8½-103o8½+103
Underu8½-120u8½-113u8½-115u8½-113u8½-115u8½-113u8½-113u8½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-115o8½-110o8½-110o8½+103
Underu8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105u8½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under