Braves at Cubs

Updated
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
50.4%49.6%
Braves WinCubs Win
3.96Projected Runs 3.92
3Final Score 4

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Charlie Morton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
83-13.521.152

Javier Assad (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
94-01.491.034

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 0-3 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Randy Vásquez • ATL: Chris Sale-240
L 6-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Dylan Cease • ATL: Reynaldo López-116
L 9-1 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Yu Darvish • ATL: Bryce Elder-111
L 3-1 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Matt Waldron • ATL: Max Fried-210
L 7-1 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Javier Assad • ATL: Charlie Morton-179
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CHC: Jameson Taillon-121
W 0-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bailey Falter • CHC: Shota Imanaga-192
L 9-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+105
L 5-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jared Jones • CHC: Justin Steele-120
W 7-1 at Atlanta BravesCHC: Javier Assad • ATL: Charlie Morton+167

Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • 3BAustin RileyRest
  • PTyler Matzek15-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PColten Brewer15-day IL
  • PJordan Wicks15-day IL
  • PDrew Smyly15-day IL
  • -Daniel Palencia15-day IL
  • 2BNico HoernerUnknown
  • PYency Almonte15-day IL
  • PKeegan Thompson15-day IL
  • PAdbert Alzolay15-day IL
S 17 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)84°82°80°78°
Humidity52%55%58%62%
Precipitation0%0%0%40%
ConditionWindyWindyWindyWindy
WindS 17 mphSSE 18 mphS 18 mphS 19 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-125-118-121-118-118-118-118-112.6
Cubs+115+108+101+108+108+108+108+112.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-125-122-116-127-122-120-116-112.6
Cubs+115+112+106+112+112+110+112+112.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -124 to -133
Cubs ML moved from +103 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Cubs: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -120 to -127
Cubs ML moved from +114 to +107

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+117-1½+142-1½+125-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+142-1½+128
Cubs+1½-133+1½-158+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+120-1½+115-1½+125-1½+120-1½+120-1½+115-1½+125-1½+128
Cubs+1½-138+1½-135+1½-143+1½-140+1½-140+1½-135+1½-135+1½-128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-113o12-103o11½-115o11½-120o11½-120o11½-120o12-103o11½-109
Underu10-103u12-113u11½-105u11½+100u11½+100u11½+100u11½+100u11½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½+105o11½-115o11½-125o12-105o11½-120o11½-120o11½-115o11½-109
Underu10½-125u11½-105u11½+105u12-115u11½+100u11½+100u11½+105u11½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o11½-115 to o11½-120
The Under moved from u10½+105 to u10½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o11-120 to o11½-120
The Under moved from u10½+100 to u10½-110