Pirates at Cubs

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
45.9%54.1%
Pirates WinCubs Win
3.25Projected Runs 3.68
5Final Score 4

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Jared Jones (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-32.630.78

Justin Steele (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-00.960.857

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 2-10 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Martín Pérez • MIL: Robert Gasser+138
L 3-4 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Quinn Priester • MIL: Joe Ross+145
W 8-6 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Mitch Keller • MIL: Colin Rea+128
L 5-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Bailey Falter+107
W 9-10 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • PIT: Paul Skenes+105
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 7-1 at Atlanta BravesCHC: Javier Assad • ATL: Charlie Morton+167
L 0-7 at Atlanta BravesCHC: Jameson Taillon • ATL: Chris Sale+176
L 0-2 at Atlanta BravesCHC: Shota Imanaga • ATL: Reynaldo López+127
W 5-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Bailey Falter-110
L 9-10 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Justin Steele • PIT: Paul Skenes-112

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes10-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PKeegan Thompson15-day IL
  • PDrew Smyly15-day IL
  • PYency Almonte15-day IL
  • -Daniel Palencia15-day IL
  • PJordan Wicks15-day IL
  • SSDansby Swanson10-day IL
  • 2BNico HoernerRest
  • PAdbert Alzolay15-day IL
SW 8 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)68°67°65°64°
Humidity73%76%78%82%
Precipitation22%20%17%10%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSW 8 mphSSW 8 mphSSW 6 mphSSW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+120+107-102+108+110+108+110+112.6
Cubs-130-117-118-118-120-118-117-112.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+125+114+113+109+116+110+116+112.6
Cubs-135-124-123-124-126-120-120-112.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +102 to -101
Cubs ML moved from -124 to -132

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 50.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +112 to +105
Cubs ML moved from -113 to -120

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-180+1½-197+1½-200+1½-195+1½-205+1½-195+1½-195+1½-178
Cubs-1½+155-1½+173-1½+170-1½+170-1½+172-1½+170-1½+173-1½+178
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-180+1½-200+1½-192+1½-200+1½-185+1½-200+1½-185+1½-178
Cubs-1½+160-1½+175-1½+170-1½+170-1½+165-1½+170-1½+175-1½+178

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o8-113o8-115o8-116o8-120o8-116o8-113o8-105
Underu7½-110u8-103u8-105u8-104u8+100u8-104u8+100u8+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+100o8-110o8-115o8-110o8-110o8-105o8-105o8-105
Underu7½-120u8-110u8-105u8-110u8-110u8-115u8-105u8+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115