Pirates at Brewers

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(76-86)
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
40.4%59.6%
Pirates WinBrewers Win
3.85Projected Runs 4.85
2Final Score 10

Milwaukee Brewers

(93-69)
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Martín Pérez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-23.61.4

Robert Gasser (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 3-4 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Quinn Priester • MIL: Joe Ross+145
W 8-6 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Mitch Keller • MIL: Colin Rea+128
L 5-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Bailey Falter+107
W 9-10 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • PIT: Paul Skenes+105
L 7-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Javier Assad • PIT: Jared Jones-124
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Quinn Priester • MIL: Joe Ross-150
L 8-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • MIL: Colin Rea-135
L 4-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • MIL: Bryse Wilson-146
W 3-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Kyle Gibson • MIL: Freddy Peralta-166
W 2-11 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Lance Lynn • MIL: Robert Gasser-117

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes10-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • CFJoey Wiemer10-day IL
  • PDL Hall15-day IL
  • 1BRhys Hoskins10-day IL
  • PJ.B. Bukauskas15-day IL
  • PWade MileyOut for Season
NE 10 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)62°64°65°66°
Humidity48%44%42%40%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNE 10 mphNE 10 mphNE 10 mphNE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+115+135+131+133+138+133+138+137.9
Brewers-125-145-157-145-148-145-145-137.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+125+138+137+135+138+135+138+137.9
Brewers-135-148-150-150-150-150-148-137.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +133 to +127
Brewers ML moved from -147 to -154

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +145 to +138
Brewers ML moved from -143 to -150

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-170+1½-158+1½-165+1½-166+1½-160+1½-166+1½-158+1½-154
Brewers-1½+150-1½+142-1½+140-1½+146-1½+140-1½+146-1½+146-1½+154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-170+1½-160+1½-164+1½-160+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160+1½-154
Brewers-1½+150-1½+140-1½+145-1½+140-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145-1½+154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8-108o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-108o8-104
Underu8½+100u8-108u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-105o8-105o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-105o8-104
Underu8½-120u8-115u8-115u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8½-125 to u8-115
Blue Jays at Orioles
Marlins at Tigers