Braves at Cubs

Updated

Atlanta Braves

(89-73)
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
54.8%45.2%
Braves WinCubs Win
4.70Projected Runs 4.20
9Final Score 2

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Max Fried (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
93-23.811.188

Justin Steele (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
40-15.211.211

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 3-4 at Chicago CubsATL: Charlie Morton • CHC: Javier Assad-116
W 0-3 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Randy Vásquez • ATL: Chris Sale-240
L 6-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Dylan Cease • ATL: Reynaldo López-116
L 9-1 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Yu Darvish • ATL: Bryce Elder-111
L 3-1 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Matt Waldron • ATL: Max Fried-210
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • CHC: Javier Assad+112
L 3-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CHC: Jameson Taillon-121
W 0-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bailey Falter • CHC: Shota Imanaga-192
L 9-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+105
L 5-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jared Jones • CHC: Justin Steele-120

Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PTyler Matzek15-day IL
  • 3BAustin RileyDoubtful

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PColten Brewer15-day IL
  • PDrew Smyly15-day IL
  • PAdbert Alzolay15-day IL
  • PKeegan Thompson15-day IL
  • PJordan Wicks15-day IL
  • -Daniel Palencia15-day IL
  • PYency Almonte15-day IL
W 13 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
To RightModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)73°71°69°67°
Humidity39%41%44%49%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindW 13 mphW 11 mphW 8 mphW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-129-124-134-126-126-124-124-118.5
Cubs+119+114+112+116+116+114+116+118.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-135-125-123-131-131-125-123-118.5
Cubs+125+115+113+116+121+115+121+118.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Braves ML
Cubs ML moved from +116 to +110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Cubs: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Cubs: 60.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -134 to -140
Cubs ML moved from +124 to +118

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+125-1½+122-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+133
Cubs+1½-145+1½-138+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-138+1½-133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+117-1½+125-1½+131-1½+125-1½+120-1½+130-1½+131-1½+133
Cubs+1½-135+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-140+1½-150+1½-140+1½-133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½-113o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-113o8½-104
Underu9-115u8½-103u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-103u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½-120o9+105o8½-125o8½-120o8½-120o9+105o8½-104
Underu9-115u8½+100u9-125u8½+105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+105u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o9+100
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½-110
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