Red Sox at Reds

Updated
Rank12
R/G4.6
RA/G4.2
43.6%56.4%
Red Sox WinReds Win
3.65Projected Runs 4.31
7Final Score 4
Rank20
R/G4.3
RA/G4.1
Rank12
R/G4.6
RA/G4.2
Rank20
R/G4.3
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Zack Kelly (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
11-11.780.947

Nick Lodolo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
118-22.761.01

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 4-3 at Cincinnati RedsBOS: Nick Pivetta • CIN: Frankie Montas-114
L 2-5 at Cincinnati RedsBOS: Kutter Crawford • CIN: Andrew Abbott-106
W 7-3 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Brayan Bello • TOR: Kevin Gausman+130
W 4-3 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Tanner Houck • TOR: Chris Bassitt-124
W 7-3 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Nick Pivetta • TOR: Yusei Kikuchi+113
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • CIN: Frankie Montas+108
W 2-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • CIN: Andrew Abbott-102
L 0-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Hunter Greene • PIT: Mitch Keller+120
W 2-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Nick Lodolo • PIT: Bailey Falter-117
L 1-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Carson Spiers • PIT: Paul Skenes+167

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • LFMasataka YoshidaRest
  • 2BVaughn Grissom10-day IL
  • PGarrett Whitlock60-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 3BChristian Encarnacion-StrandRest
  • LFJake FraleyRest
  • PEmilio Pagan15-day IL
WSW 13 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)80°80°82°84°
Humidity76%77%75%72%
Precipitation24%26%34%19%
ConditionCloudyCloudyMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWSW 13 mphWSW 11 mphWSW 11 mphWSW 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+142+141+134+142+147+142+147+147.1
Reds-155-153-160-155-157-155-153-147.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+141+142+141+144+141+140+144+147.1
Reds-155-152-155-159-154-155-152-147.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML
Reds ML moved from -163 to -170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +145 to +138
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-140+1½-138+1½-150+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-138+1½-133
Reds-1½+120-1½+122-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-1½+133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-135+1½-140+1½-140+1½-135+1½-133
Reds-1½+122-1½+120-1½+122-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+122-1½+133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o9-118o9-120o9-117o9½+100o9-117o9-117o9-106
Underu9½-120u9+102u9+100u9-103u9½-120u9-103u9½-120u9+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o9-120o9½+100o9½+105o9½+100o9½+105o9½+105o9-106
Underu9½-120u9+100u9½-120u9½-125u9½-120u9½-125u9½-120u9+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-120 to u9-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-110