Reds at Pirates

Updated
Rank20
R/G4.3
RA/G4.1
51.2%48.8%
Reds WinPirates Win
3.83Projected Runs 3.71
0Final Score 1
Rank23
R/G4.0
RA/G4.4
Rank20
R/G4.3
RA/G4.1
Rank23
R/G4.0
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Hunter Greene (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
145-23.611.178

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
148-43.361.249

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 2-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Nick Lodolo • PIT: Bailey Falter-117
L 1-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Carson Spiers • PIT: Paul Skenes+167
L 4-5 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Frankie Montas • MIL: Colin Rea+134
L 1-3 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Andrew Abbott • MIL: Jared Koenig+122
W 6-5 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Hunter Greene • MIL: Freddy Peralta+153
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Lodolo • PIT: Bailey Falter+114
W 1-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Carson Spiers • PIT: Paul Skenes-170
W 8-2 at Colorado RockiesPIT: Josh Fleming • COL: Dakota Hudson-105
L 4-16 at Colorado RockiesPIT: Jared Jones • COL: Ty Blach-158
W 5-2 at Colorado RockiesPIT: Carmen Mlodzinski • COL: Ryan Feltner-106

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PEmilio Pagan15-day IL
  • 3BChristian Encarnacion-Strand60-day IL
  • 3BJeimer CandelarioRest
  • CFT.J. FriedlRest

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • SSAlika Williams10-day IL
  • CHenry DavisUnknown
  • CJoey Bart10-day IL
  • PRyan Borucki60-day IL
  • 2BJi-Hwan Bae10-day IL
  • PMartin Perez15-day IL
  • PHunter Stratton15-day IL
  • PQuinn Priester15-day IL
S 4 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)87°89°90°91°
Humidity60%57%55%52%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindS 4 mphSSE 4 mphSSE 4 mphSE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+115+113+108+116+116+116+116+120.4
Pirates-125-123-130-126-126-126-123-120.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+105+113+117+110+120+116+120+120.4
Pirates-115-123-128-125-130-126-123-120.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +114 to +108
Pirates ML moved from -122 to -131

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +117 to +110
Pirates ML moved from -130 to -137

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-215+1½-183+1½-195+1½-194+1½-190+1½-194+1½-183+1½-178
Pirates-1½+185-1½+162-1½+165-1½+169-1½+165-1½+169-1½+169-1½+178
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-210+1½-190+1½-188+1½-185+1½-185+1½-190+1½-185+1½-178
Pirates-1½+180-1½+170-1½+166-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+170-1½+178

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+105o7½-113o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-113o7½-104
Underu8-125u7½-103u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-103u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½-115o7½-115o7½-105o7½-115o7½-115o7½-105o7½-104
Underu7½+100u7½-105u7½-105u7½-115u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½-103 to u7½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-120 to o8-135
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115