Reds at Brewers

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
41.5%58.5%
Reds WinBrewers Win
3.68Projected Runs 4.57
4Final Score 5
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Frankie Montas (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
123-54.551.392

Colin Rea (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
115-23.311.259

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 1-3 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Andrew Abbott • MIL: Jared Koenig+122
W 6-5 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Hunter Greene • MIL: Freddy Peralta+153
W 2-4 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Tanner Bibee • CIN: Nick Lodolo-106
L 5-3 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Triston McKenzie • CIN: Brent Suter-105
L 4-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Shota Imanaga • CIN: Frankie Montas+118
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Andrew Abbott • MIL: Jared Koenig-127
L 6-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • MIL: Freddy Peralta-163
W 4-5 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Chris Bassitt • MIL: Tobias Myers-120
L 3-0 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Yusei Kikuchi • MIL: Carlos Rodriguez+110
W 1-3 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: José Berríos • MIL: Colin Rea-118

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PEmilio Pagan15-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PJoe Ross15-day IL
  • PRobert Gasser15-day IL
  • PDL Hall60-day IL
S 12 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
From RightVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)80°84°86°88°
Humidity65%60%59%57%
Precipitation0%52%40%40%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindS 12 mphS 13 mphSSW 13 mphSSW 14 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+121+130+129+134+130+134+134+138.9
Brewers-132-140-154-146-140-146-140-138.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+115+134+130+129+130+131+134+138.9
Brewers-125-144-142-144-141-142-141-138.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +131 to +123
Brewers ML moved from -120 to -128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Brewers ML moved from -136 to -144

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-190+1½-153+1½-150+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-150+1½-143
Brewers-1½+165-1½+137-1½+130-1½+135-1½+140-1½+135-1½+140-1½+143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-190+1½-160+1½-157+1½-155+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-143
Brewers-1½+170-1½+140-1½+138-1½+135-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9½+102o9½+100o9½-103o9-120o9½-103o9-120o9½+106
Underu9-120u9½-118u9½-120u9½-117u9+100u9½-117u9½-117u9½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9½-105o9½-105o9-115o9-120o9½-105o9-115o9½+106
Underu9-115u9½-115u9½-115u9-105u9+100u9½-115u9½-115u9½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9+115 to u9+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9½-105
No Steam Moves On Under