Reds at Brewers

Updated
Rank20
R/G4.3
RA/G4.1
41.9%58.1%
Reds WinBrewers Win
3.10Projected Runs 3.94
6Final Score 5
Rank7
R/G4.8
RA/G4.0
Rank20
R/G4.3
RA/G4.1
Rank7
R/G4.8
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Hunter Greene (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
134-23.611.151

Freddy Peralta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
134-33.951.132

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Tanner Bibee • CIN: Nick Lodolo-106
L 5-3 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Triston McKenzie • CIN: Brent Suter-105
L 4-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Shota Imanaga • CIN: Frankie Montas+118
W 3-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Ben Brown • CIN: Andrew Abbott-114
W 2-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • CIN: Nick Lodolo-128
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Chris Bassitt • MIL: Tobias Myers-120
L 3-0 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Yusei Kikuchi • MIL: Carlos Rodriguez+110
W 1-3 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: José Berríos • MIL: Colin Rea-118
L 2-10 at Detroit TigersMIL: Bryse Wilson • DET: Tarik Skubal+155
W 5-4 at Detroit TigersMIL: Freddy Peralta • DET: Casey Mize-165

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PEmilio Pagan15-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PJoe Ross15-day IL
  • PRobert Gasser15-day IL
  • PDL Hall60-day IL
NNE 9 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)69°67°64°62°
Humidity47%51%57%62%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNE 9 mphNNE 8 mphNNE 7 mphNNE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+133+148+145+151+155+151+155+156.3
Brewers-145-160-177-165-165-165-160-156.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+125+152+148+148+153+150+153+156.3
Brewers-135-165-163-163-167-165-163-156.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +122 to +115
Brewers ML moved from -163 to -174

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +130 to +124
Brewers ML moved from -150 to -163

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-177+1½-143+1½-160+1½-150+1½-155+1½-150+1½-143+1½-138
Brewers-1½+157-1½+127-1½+135-1½+130-1½+135-1½+130-1½+135-1½+138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-180+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-138
Brewers-1½+160-1½+130-1½+131-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-1½+131-1½+138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½+102o7-125o7½+102o7½+100o7½+102o7-125o7½+111
Underu8-115u7½-118u7+105u7½-122u7½-120u7½-122u7½-118u7½-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½-105o7½-115o7½-105o7½+100o7½+111
Underu8-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-115u7½-105u7½-115u7½-105u7½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o7½-125
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-115