Cubs at Reds

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
43.3%56.7%
Cubs WinReds Win
3.82Projected Runs 4.53
2Final Score 3
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Justin Steele (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
70-24.11.205

Nick Lodolo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
85-23.110.993

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 4-8 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Javier Assad • CIN: Hunter Greene+116
W 6-7 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Erick Fedde • CHC: Jameson Taillon-187
W 6-7 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Chris Flexen • CHC: Shota Imanaga-285
L 5-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Lodolo • CHC: Ben Brown-117
W 5-7 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • CHC: Justin Steele-133
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 4-8 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Javier Assad • CIN: Hunter Greene-120
W 12-7 at Colorado RockiesCIN: Graham Ashcraft • COL: Dakota Hudson-138
W 4-1 at Colorado RockiesCIN: Frankie Montas • COL: Ty Blach-122
W 13-3 at Colorado RockiesCIN: Andrew Abbott • COL: Ryan Feltner-102
W 5-2 at Chicago CubsCIN: Nick Lodolo • CHC: Ben Brown+114

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PColten Brewer15-day IL
  • PAdbert Alzolay60-day IL
  • PYency Almonte15-day IL
  • PKeegan Thompson15-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CTyler StephensonUnknown
WNW 11 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)77°75°72°68°
Humidity39%42%49%55%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindWNW 11 mphWNW 8 mphW 5 mphWNW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+120+119+117+122+124+122+124+126.7
Reds-130-129-140-133-134-133-129-126.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+102+118+121+119+121+120+121+126.7
Reds-112-128-132-134-131-130-128-126.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +118 to +112
Reds ML moved from -117 to -127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +124 to +118
Reds ML moved from -126 to -133

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-205+1½-163+1½-175+1½-167+1½-180+1½-167+1½-163+1½-154
Reds-1½+175-1½+147-1½+150-1½+147-1½+160-1½+147-1½+160-1½+154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-200+1½-165+1½-165+1½-170+1½-180+1½-180+1½-165+1½-154
Reds-1½+175-1½+145-1½+146-1½+150-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9+102o9-105o8½-130o8½-120o8½-130o8½-120o8½-119
Underu9-110u9-118u9-115u8½+110u8½+100u8½+110u8½+110u8½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-119
Underu9-115u8½+100u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½+119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110