Cubs at Pirates

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
47.6%52.4%
Cubs WinPirates Win
4.48Projected Runs 4.73
2Final Score 1
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Jose Quintana (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • CHC: Marcus Stroman+122
W 0-9 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CHC: Justin Steele+141
W 4-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+165
W 3-2 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Alec Mills • STL: Jake Woodford+148
W 6-5 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Adrian Sampson • STL: Jon Lester+169
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 9-4 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Bryse Wilson • STL: Steven Matz+200
L 2-6 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Mitch Keller • STL: Miles Mikolas+155
L 0-9 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: JT Brubaker • STL: Adam Wainwright+145
L 6-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Reiver Sanmartin • PIT: Mitch Keller+145
W 6-8 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Tyler Mahle • PIT: Max Kranick+142

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PAlec Mills10-day IL
  • LFRafael OrtegaRest
  • PWade Miley10-day IL
  • RFJason HeywardRest
  • PAdbert AlzolayOut
  • PKeegan ThompsonOut
  • SSAndrelton Simmons10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CFGreg Allen60-day IL
  • PDuane Underwood10-day IL
NNW 3 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
To RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)68°68°66°66°
Humidity56%56%58%65%
Precipitation0%0%1%1%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNNW 3 mphNNE 3 mphE 3 mphESE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-130-117-113-112-113-113-112-109.1
Pirates+120-103+103+102+103+103+103+109.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-105-117-114-112-115-112-112-109.1
Pirates-105+107+104+102+105+102+107+109.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -102 to -109
Pirates ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -111 to -118
Pirates ML moved from +108 to +102

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+125-1½+140-1½+135-1½+140-1½+135-1½+135-1½+140-1½+149
Pirates+1½-145+1½-165+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-149
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+150-1½+140-1½+141-1½+145-1½+145-1½+140-1½+145-1½+149
Pirates+1½-170+1½-160+1½-160+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160+1½-149

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-115o8½-117o8½-120o8½-117o8½-117o8½-115o8½-104
Underu8½-110u8½-105u8½-103u8½+100u8½-103u8½-103u8½+100u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½-115o8½-115o8½-120o8½-130o8½-115o8½-115o8½-104
Underu9-115u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½+110u8½-105u8½+110u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-130
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-105