Reds at Pirates

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
62.2%37.8%
Reds WinPirates Win
4.79Projected Runs 3.51
6Final Score 8
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Tyler Mahle (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3213-63.541.207

Max Kranick (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-36.231.702

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 2-9 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Luis Castillo • PIT: Wil Crowe-190
L 1-6 at Chicago White SoxCIN: Sonny Gray • CHW: Carlos Rodon+170
L 1-7 at Chicago White SoxCIN: Riley O'Brien • CHW: Reynaldo Lopez+165
W 1-13 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Connor Overton • CIN: Reiver Sanmartin-165
W 2-9 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josh Rogers • CIN: Tyler Mahle-174
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 2-9 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Castillo • PIT: Wil Crowe+180
L 9-0 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • PIT: Miguel Yajure+101
L 3-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Roansy Contreras+112
W 6-8 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Alec Mills • PIT: Mitch Keller-104
L 1-13 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Connor Overton • CIN: Reiver Sanmartin+161

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CFTyler NaquinOut for Season
  • SSKyle FarmerOut
  • PWade Miley10-day IL
  • 3BMike Moustakas10-day IL
  • LFJesse Winker10-day IL
  • 2BJonathan IndiaRest
  • CTucker BarnhartRest
  • LFShogo Akiyama10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PConnor Overton10-day IL
  • PSteven Brault60-day IL
  • PDillon Peters60-day IL
  • SSKevin NewmanRest
  • PJT Brubaker10-day IL
  • PLuis Oviedo10-day IL
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes10-day IL
  • PDuane Underwood60-day IL
  • PBryse Wilson60-day IL
SSW 3 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)73°69°68°68°
Humidity47%51%51%62%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSW 3 mphSSW 3 mphS 3 mphSSE 3 mph
Mike Estabrook
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-181-155-145-146-145-145-145-139.9
Pirates+166+130+134+136+135+134+136+139.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-175-146-145-148-155-148-145-139.9
Pirates+160+136+132+138+142+138+142+139.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from -160 to -170
Pirates ML moved from +145 to +135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Pirates ML moved from +148 to +138

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½-125-1½+100-1½+106-1½+105-1½+106-1½+106-1½+106-1½+115
Pirates+1½+105+1½-120+1½-126+1½-125+1½-126+1½-126+1½-120+1½-115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½-110-1½+100-1½+110-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+115
Pirates+1½-110+1½-120+1½-128+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-120+1½-115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½+105o8-113o8-115o8-113o8-113o8½+105o8-102
Underu8½+100u8½-125u8-107u8-105u8-107u8-107u8-105u8+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-105o8½+100o8½-100o8½-105o8½-105o8½-100o8-102
Underu8½-100u8½-115u8½-120u8½-120u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o9+100
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o9-105
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110