Reds at Pirates

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
62.3%37.7%
Reds WinPirates Win
5.07Projected Runs 3.77
2Final Score 9
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
328-164.051.355

Wil Crowe (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
244-85.771.627

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 1-6 at Chicago White SoxCIN: Sonny Gray • CHW: Carlos Rodon+170
L 1-7 at Chicago White SoxCIN: Riley O'Brien • CHW: Reynaldo Lopez+165
W 1-13 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Connor Overton • CIN: Reiver Sanmartin-165
W 2-9 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josh Rogers • CIN: Tyler Mahle-174
W 6-7 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Erick Fedde • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez-117
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 9-0 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • PIT: Miguel Yajure+101
L 3-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Roansy Contreras+112
W 6-8 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Alec Mills • PIT: Mitch Keller-104
L 1-13 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Connor Overton • CIN: Reiver Sanmartin+161
W 6-0 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Max Kranick • PHI: Hans Crouse+210

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • LFJesse Winker10-day IL
  • 3BMike Moustakas10-day IL
  • LFShogo Akiyama10-day IL
  • CFTyler NaquinOut for Season
  • PWade Miley10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PSteven Brault60-day IL
  • PBryse Wilson60-day IL
  • CJacob StallingsRest
  • PLuis Oviedo10-day IL
  • PDillon Peters60-day IL
  • CFBryan ReynoldsRest
  • PConnor Overton10-day IL
  • PDuane Underwood60-day IL
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes10-day IL
  • PJT Brubaker10-day IL
W 2 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)70°66°64°64°
Humidity48%54%57%66%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindW 2 mphENE 2 mphENE 2 mphESE 2 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-165-200-191-195-191-191-191-173.6
Pirates+152+165+175+182+171+175+182+173.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-164-200-192-195-195-190-190-173.6
Pirates+154+180+174+175+176+175+180+173.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from -185 to -191
Pirates ML moved from +172 to +165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from -190 to -200
Pirates ML moved from +184 to +174

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½-104-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-104
Pirates+1½-116+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½-115-1½-120-1½-115-1½-120-1½-120-1½-125-1½-115-1½-104
Pirates+1½-105+1½+100+1½-103+1½+100+1½+100+1½+105+1½+105+1½+104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8-110o8-110o8-115o8-110o8-110o8-110o8+106
Underu8½-110u8-110u8-110u8-105u8-110u8-110u8-105u8-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8-115o8-110o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-110o8+106
Underu8½-110u8-105u8-110u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-113 to u8½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-110