Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
39.7%60.3%
Pirates WinReds Win
4.08Projected Runs 5.16
1Final Score 13
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Connor Overton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-00.00.0

Reiver Sanmartin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 6-0 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Max Kranick • PHI: Hans Crouse+210
L 0-3 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Wil Crowe • PHI: Ranger Suarez+240
L 6-8 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Sam Howard • PHI: Kyle Gibson+201
L 6-12 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Connor Overton • PHI: Aaron Nola+240
W 6-2 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Tyler Mahle+201
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 2-9 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josh Rogers • CIN: Tyler Mahle-174
W 6-7 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Erick Fedde • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez-117
W 7-8 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Paolo Espino • CIN: Sonny Gray-161
L 3-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • CIN: Luis Castillo-186
L 6-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Tyler Mahle-210

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 3BMichael Chavis10-day IL
  • PBryse Wilson60-day IL
  • PDillon Peters10-day IL
  • PJT Brubaker10-day IL
  • PSteven Brault60-day IL
  • PDuane Underwood60-day IL
  • CJacob StallingsUnknown

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PWade Miley10-day IL
  • LFShogo Akiyama10-day IL
  • LFJesse Winker10-day IL
  • CFTyler NaquinOut for Season
  • 3BMike Moustakas10-day IL
SW 13 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)78°80°81°82°
Humidity55%53%55%57%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSW 13 mphSW 13 mphSW 14 mphSW 14 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+152+153+161+161+160+161+161+166.4
Reds-165-185-175-171-175-175-171-166.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+155+155+158+155+151+161+161+166.4
Reds-170-170-174-170-165-172-165-166.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Reds ML moved from -168 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +161 to +151
Reds ML moved from -166 to -172

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-130+1½-115+1½-122+1½-120+1½-122+1½-122+1½-115+1½-116
Reds-1½+110-1½-105-1½+102-1½+100-1½+102-1½+102-1½+102-1½+116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-125+1½-130+1½-126+1½-145+1½-130+1½-130+1½-126+1½-116
Reds-1½+105-1½+110-1½+108-1½+125-1½+110-1½+110-1½+125-1½+116

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o9½-105o9½+100o9½-105o9½-103o9½+100o9½+100o9-104
Underu9½-110u9½-115u9½-120u9½-115u9½-117u9½-120u9½-115u9+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9½-105o9½-110o9½-105o9½-110o9½-105o9½-105o9-104
Underu9½-115u9½-115u9½-110u9½-115u9½-110u9½-115u9½-110u9+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9½-127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
No Steam Moves On Under