Pirates at Phillies

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(76-86)
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
33.3%66.7%
Pirates WinPhillies Win
3.52Projected Runs 5.24
6Final Score 8

Philadelphia Phillies

(95-67)
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Sam Howard (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
03-45.81.488

Kyle Gibson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2810-83.511.229

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 6-12 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Connor Overton • PHI: Aaron Nola+240
W 6-2 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Tyler Mahle+201
L 5-9 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Dillon Peters • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+149
L 5-6 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Max Kranick • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+190
W 6-3 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Bryse Wilson • MIA: Edward Cabrera+120
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 6-12 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Connor Overton • PHI: Aaron Nola-260
W 3-4 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Keegan Akin • PHI: Zack Wheeler-310
W 2-3 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Conner Greene • PHI: Adonis Medina-198
L 2-0 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: John Means • PHI: Ranger Suarez-197
L 2-3 at New York MetsPHI: Kyle Gibson • NYM: Rich Hill+123

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PBryse Wilson60-day IL
  • CJacob StallingsUnknown
  • PDuane Underwood60-day IL
  • 3BMichael Chavis10-day IL
  • PDillon Peters10-day IL
  • PDavid Bednar10-day IL
  • PSteven Brault60-day IL
  • PJT Brubaker10-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • 1BRhys HoskinsOut for Season
  • PZach EflinOut for Season
  • PConnor Brogdon10-day IL
  • PMatt Moore10-day IL
WNW 6 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)67°65°64°65°
Humidity56%61%66%70%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWNW 6 mphWNW 5 mphWNW 4 mphWNW 3 mph
James Hoye
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+228+190+208+200+200+208+208+212.7
Phillies-255-230-230-220-230-230-220-212.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+200+190+195+200+201+200+201+212.7
Phillies-220-220-215-220-225-220-215-212.7

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 70.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +210 to +195
No Steam Moves On Phillies ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +202 to +195
No Steam Moves On Phillies ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-101+1½+100+1½+103+1½+100+1½+103+1½+103+1½+103+1½+112
Phillies-1½-119-1½-120-1½-123-1½-120-1½-123-1½-123-1½-120-1½-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½+105+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+110+1½+105+1½+110+1½+112
Phillies-1½-125-1½-120-1½-118-1½-120-1½-130-1½-125-1½-118-1½-112

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-125o8½-120o9+110o8½-120o9+110o9+110o9+110o9+109
Underu9+105u8½+100u9-130u8½+100u9-130u9-130u8½+100u9-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9+105o9+103o9+105o9+105o8½-120o9+105o9+109
Underu9-105u9-125u9-123u9-125u9-125u8½+100u9-123u9-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-115 to u9-125
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