Orioles at Phillies

Updated
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
39.8%60.2%
Orioles WinPhillies Win
3.34Projected Runs 4.42
2Final Score 0
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

John Means (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
225-73.420.997

Ranger Suarez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
86-41.381.026

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 6-8 at Boston Red SoxBAL: Alexander Wells • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi+295
L 3-9 at Boston Red SoxBAL: Zac Lowther • BOS: Nick Pivetta+248
L 1-7 at Boston Red SoxBAL: Keegan Akin • BOS: Chris Sale+300
W 2-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Jordan Montgomery • BAL: Chris Ellis+205
L 4-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Nestor Cortes • BAL: John Means+149
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 2-3 at New York MetsPHI: Kyle Gibson • NYM: Rich Hill+123
W 5-3 at New York MetsPHI: Aaron Nola • NYM: Carlos Carrasco-108
W 4-3 at New York MetsPHI: Zack Wheeler • NYM: Taijuan Walker-123
W 8-17 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PHI: Cam Bedrosian-145
W 5-6 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Alec Mills • PHI: Ranger Suarez-195

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • PMatt HarveyOut for Season
  • CFCedric MullinsRest
  • PTanner Scott10-day IL
  • SSJorge Mateo60-day IL
  • 1BTrey ManciniRest
  • PJorge LopezOut for Season

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PZach EflinOut for Season
  • RFTravis Jankowski10-day IL
  • PConnor Brogdon10-day IL
  • 3BLuke Williams10-day IL
  • 1BRhys HoskinsOut for Season
ESE 9 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)69°66°66°67°
Humidity64%71%76%78%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearPartly Cloudy
WindESE 9 mphESE 8 mphESE 7 mphESE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+171+170+181+187+177+181+187+186.0
Phillies-186-210-197-205-197-197-197-186.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+169+185+178+180+185+180+185+186.0
Phillies-186-210-197-200-205-200-197-186.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +187 to +180
Phillies ML moved from -210 to -220

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +190 to +180
Phillies ML moved from -200 to -210

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-120+1½-125+1½-125+1½-120+1½-118
Phillies-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+100-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+118
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-125+1½-120+1½-128+1½-120+1½-130+1½-125+1½-120+1½-118
Phillies-1½+105-1½+100-1½+110-1½+100-1½+110-1½+105-1½+110-1½+118

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8+100o8+105o8+100o8+105o8+105o8+105o7½-109
Underu8+100u8-120u8-125u8-120u8-125u8-125u8-120u7½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8+100o8+105o8+105o8-105o8+100o8+105o7½-109
Underu8+100u8-120u8-125u8-125u8-115u8-120u8-115u7½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-118 to u8-125