Nationals at Reds

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
38.2%61.8%
Nationals WinReds Win
4.02Projected Runs 5.25
7Final Score 8
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Paolo Espino (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
175-53.941.198

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
247-83.841.176

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 3-2 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Patrick Corbin • CIN: Luis Castillo+181
W 7-5 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Josiah Gray • MIA: Elieser Hernandez+122
W 7-1 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Josh Rogers • MIA: Trevor Rogers+132
L 7-8 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Erick Fedde • MIA: Jesus Luzardo-105
W 0-3 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Jon Gray • WSN: Paolo Espino-104
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • CIN: Luis Castillo-186
L 6-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Tyler Mahle-210
W 5-9 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Dillon Peters • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez-157
L 8-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • CIN: Wade Miley+176
L 5-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Max Scherzer • CIN: Sonny Gray+200

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • LFGerardo Parra10-day IL
  • PKyle McGowin60-day IL
  • LFYadiel HernandezOut
  • 3BCarter KieboomUnknown

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 3BMike Moustakas10-day IL
  • LFJesse Winker10-day IL
  • PTejay Antone60-day IL
  • CFTyler NaquinOut for Season
  • LFShogo Akiyama10-day IL
SSW 5 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)68°64°62°60°
Humidity49%61%68%73%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSW 5 mphSSW 5 mphSSW 5 mphSSW 5 mph
Ryan Additon
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+170+139+149+152+147+149+152+150.0
Reds-185-165-162-162-162-162-162-150.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+165+155+148+155+155+151+155+150.0
Reds-181-170-163-170-170-161-161-150.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +156 to +150
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 40.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +165 to +155
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-125+1½-140+1½-132+1½-140+1½-132+1½-132+1½-132+1½-129
Reds-1½+105-1½+120-1½+112-1½+120-1½+112-1½+112-1½+120-1½+129
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-125+1½-130+1½-140+1½-135+1½-140+1½-140+1½-130+1½-129
Reds-1½+105-1½+110-1½+122-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+122-1½+129

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o8½-115o8½-114o8½-115o8½-114o8½-114o8½-114o8½-106
Underu9-110u8½-105u8½-106u8½-105u8½-106u8½-106u8½-105u8½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o8½-115o8½-112o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-112o8½-106
Underu9-110u8½-105u8½-108u8½+100u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+103 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-112
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-105