Brewers at Red Sox

Updated
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
52.3%47.7%
Brewers WinRed Sox Win
4.57Projected Runs 4.33
2Final Score 7
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Aaron Ashby (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Josh Winckowski (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
83-55.181.5

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 9-4 at Boston Red SoxMIL: Eric Lauer • BOS: Nick Pivetta-110
W 4-1 at Boston Red SoxMIL: Brandon Woodruff • BOS: Austin Davis-160
W 4-10 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Chris Archer • MIL: Corbin Burnes-200
W 6-7 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Dylan Bundy • MIL: Ethan Small-112
L 2-0 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Kyle Freeland • MIL: Aaron Ashby-184
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 9-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • BOS: Nick Pivetta+105
L 4-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • BOS: Austin Davis+153
W 2-4 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Triston McKenzie • BOS: Kutter Crawford+123
L 7-6 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Cal Quantrill • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi-128
L 8-3 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Bryan Shaw • BOS: Josh Winckowski-130

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • 2BJace Peterson10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PMatt StrahmUnknown
  • PChris SaleUnknown
  • 3BRafael Devers10-day IL
  • PTyler DanishUnknown
  • 2BTrevor Story10-day IL
  • PRich HillUnknown
  • PMichael WachaUnknown
  • CFEnrique Hernandez60-day IL
SE 5 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)86°87°86°85°
Humidity41%39%38%42%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSE 5 mphSSE 5 mphS 6 mphSSW 6 mph
Mike Muchlinski
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-120-137-145-138-135-138-138-137-129.3
Red Sox+110+127+122+128+125+128+128+128+129.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-130-137-139-145-140-137-137-129.3
Red Sox+120+127+127+122+129+127+129+129.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 0.0%
Red Sox: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -130 to -138
No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 0.0%
Red Sox: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -130 to -137
No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½+125-1½+117-1½+120-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+120-1½+124
Red Sox+1½-145+1½-133+1½-140+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-133+1½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½+120-1½+120-1½+113-1½+120-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+124
Red Sox+1½-140+1½-140+1½-131+1½-140+1½-135+1½-140+1½-131+1½-124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o9½-113o9½-110o9½-112o9½-110o9½-112o9½-112o9½-110o9½+100
Underu9½-110u9½-103u9½-110u9½-108u9½-110u9½-108u9½-108u9½-103u9½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-120o9½-115o9-125o9½-110o9½-105o9½-110o9-125o9½+100
Underu9½+100u9½-105u9+105u9½-110u9½-115u9½-110u9½-105u9½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-108 to o9½-113
The Under moved from u9½-105 to u9+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-115
The Under moved from u9½-110 to u9-102