Red Sox at Twins

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(81-81)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
49.4%50.6%
Red Sox WinTwins Win
4.11Projected Runs 4.18
9Final Score 3

Minnesota Twins

(82-80)
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

James Paxton (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-13.091.156

Pablo Lopez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 1-4 vs New York YankeesNYY: Luis Severino • BOS: Brayan Bello-120
W 2-6 vs New York YankeesNYY: Clarke Schmidt • BOS: Kaleb Ort+104
W 5-15 vs New York YankeesNYY: Domingo Germán • BOS: Tanner Houck-118
W 3-6 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Austin Gomber • BOS: Garrett Whitlock-212
L 7-6 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Chase Anderson • BOS: Kutter Crawford-200
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 6-4 vs Detroit TigersDET: Will Vest • MIN: Louie Varland-171
W 0-2 vs Detroit TigersDET: Joey Wentz • MIN: José De León-175
L 7-1 vs Detroit TigersDET: Will Vest • MIN: Joe Ryan-240
L 8-4 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matthew Boyd • MIN: Sonny Gray-205
W 2-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Colin Rea • MIN: Bailey Ober-150

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • DHJustin TurnerRest
  • PTanner Houck10-day IL
  • SSEnrique HernandezRest
  • PJoely Rodriguez15-day IL
  • PChris Sale60-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • CFMichael A. TaylorRest
  • PCaleb Thielbar15-day IL
  • RFMax KeplerRest
  • 2BJorge Polanco10-day IL
SSE 8 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)89°87°85°82°
Humidity41%42%46%52%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSE 8 mphSSE 7 mphSE 6 mphSE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+120+125+122+121+126+121+126+125.3
Twins-130-135-145-131-136-131-131-125.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+110+122+120+122+126+126+126+125.3
Twins-120-132-131-145-137-146-131-125.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +124 to +118
Twins ML moved from -128 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +126 to +120
Twins ML moved from -142 to -148

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-177+1½-163+1½-170+1½-173+1½-165+1½-173+1½-163+1½-160
Twins-1½+157-1½+147-1½+145-1½+153-1½+145-1½+153-1½+153-1½+160
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-178+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-160
Twins-1½+150-1½+150-1½+155-1½+143-1½+145-1½+145-1½+155-1½+160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o7½-103o7½-110o7½-109o7½-110o7½-109o7½-103o7½+101
Underu8+100u7½-113u7½-110u7½-111u7½-110u7½-111u7½-110u7½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o7½-105o7½-108o7½-105o8+105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+101
Underu8-105u7½-115u7½-112u7½-115u8-125u7½-125u8-125u7½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-112
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-120
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