Nationals at Astros

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
35.4%64.6%
Nationals WinAstros Win
3.36Projected Runs 4.88
4Final Score 1
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

MacKenzie Gore (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
133-54.041.391

Cristian Javier (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
137-13.131.058

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 4-5 at Houston AstrosWSN: Josiah Gray • HOU: Framber Valdez+220
L 1-6 at Houston AstrosWSN: Patrick Corbin • HOU: Hunter Brown+225
W 6-2 at Atlanta BravesWSN: Trevor Williams • ATL: Bryce Elder+245
L 4-6 at Atlanta BravesWSN: MacKenzie Gore • ATL: Jared Shuster+163
L 2-3 at Atlanta BravesWSN: Josiah Gray • ATL: AJ Smith-Shawver+185
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josiah Gray • HOU: Framber Valdez-220
W 1-6 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • HOU: Hunter Brown-239
L 0-5 at Cleveland GuardiansHOU: Brandon Bielak • CLE: Shane Bieber+110
W 6-4 at Cleveland GuardiansHOU: J.P. France • CLE: Triston McKenzie+123
L 9-10 at Cleveland GuardiansHOU: Cristian Javier • CLE: Logan Allen-104

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • DHJoey MenesesRest

Houston Astros

Status
  • SSJeremy PenaUnknown
  • DHYordan Alvarez10-day IL
  • PLuis Garcia60-day IL
  • PLance McCullers JrOut for Season
S 12 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
UnknownSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)93°90°87°85°
Humidity59%65%72%78%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindS 12 mphS 10 mphS 10 mphS 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+208+175+169+180+180+180+180+185.4
Astros-230-190-208-196-190-196-190-185.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+189+175+181+162+176+164+181+185.4
Astros-210-190-200-195-195-194-190-185.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +156 to +148
Astros ML moved from -200 to -208

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +160 to +153
Astros ML moved from -185 to -195

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-105+1½-118+1½-115+1½-117+1½-120+1½-117+1½-115+1½-106
Astros-1½-115-1½+102-1½-105-1½-103-1½+100-1½-103-1½+102-1½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-105+1½-120+1½-118+1½-130+1½-130+1½-120+1½-118+1½-106
Astros-1½-115-1½+100-1½+100-1½+110-1½+110-1½+100-1½+110-1½+106

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8-108o8-105o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-105o8+100
Underu8-110u8-108u8-115u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-108u8+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8+100
Underu8+100u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-110 to u8-110