Pirates at Brewers

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
49.3%50.7%
Pirates WinBrewers Win
4.28Projected Runs 4.36
1Final Score 14
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
229-73.971.212

Adrian Houser (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
123-34.431.567

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 6-3 vs Detroit TigersDET: Eduardo Rodriguez • PIT: Osvaldo Bido+115
W 1-4 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matt Manning • PIT: Johan Oviedo-115
W 4-6 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Cristopher Sánchez • PIT: Rich Hill+136
W 6-7 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • PIT: Quinn Priester+160
L 2-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • PIT: Mitch Keller+148
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 2-3 at Washington NationalsMIL: Wade Miley • WSN: MacKenzie Gore-125
W 6-4 at Washington NationalsMIL: Freddy Peralta • WSN: Josiah Gray-158
L 3-5 at Washington NationalsMIL: Corbin Burnes • WSN: Jake Irvin-200
L 6-8 at Atlanta BravesMIL: Colin Rea • ATL: AJ Smith-Shawver+175
L 5-11 at Atlanta BravesMIL: Julio Teheran • ATL: Bryce Elder+190

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CJason DelayRest
  • 3BJared TrioloRest
  • 1BConnor JoeRest
  • SSTucupita Marcano60-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • LFGarrett Mitchell60-day IL
  • CFSal FrelickUnknown
  • PJulio Teheran15-day IL
  • DHJesse Winker10-day IL
  • PJustin Wilson15-day IL
  • 1BRowdy Tellez10-day IL
W 7 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
To LeftSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)89°87°83°80°
Humidity48%51%58%65%
Precipitation52%46%48%46%
ConditionMostly ClearPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindW 7 mphW 6 mphWNW 7 mphW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+120+115+107+110+116+110+116+114.5
Brewers-130-124-128-120-126-120-120-114.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+105+115+108+112+114+112+115+114.5
Brewers-115-125-118-125-124-132-118-114.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 40.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +118 to +112
Brewers ML moved from -125 to -132

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +118 to +112
Brewers ML moved from -130 to -140

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-190+1½-183+1½-185+1½-190+1½-175+1½-190+1½-175+1½-174
Brewers-1½+165-1½+162-1½+160-1½+165-1½+155-1½+165-1½+165-1½+174
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-180+1½-180+1½-195+1½-180+1½-180+1½-185+1½-180+1½-174
Brewers-1½+160-1½+160-1½+173-1½+152-1½+160-1½+155-1½+173-1½+174

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-103o8½-105o8½-105o8½+100o8½-105o8½+100o8½+104
Underu8½-110u8½-113u8½-115u8½-115u8½-120u8½-115u8½-113u8½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-105o8½+100o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½+100o8½+104
Underu8½-105u8½-115u8½-120u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+105 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-115