Cubs at Reds

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
43.4%56.6%
Cubs WinReds Win
3.63Projected Runs 4.33
3Final Score 4
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Kyle Hendricks (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
92-44.891.329

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-24.61.149

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 11-4 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Marcus Stroman • CIN: Tyler Mahle+104
W 7-4 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Drew Smyly • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez-124
W 4-5 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Merrill Kelly • CHC: Wade Miley-125
L 7-6 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Madison Bumgarner • CHC: Justin Steele-130
L 10-6 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Humberto Castellanos • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-136
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 11-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Marcus Stroman • CIN: Tyler Mahle-110
L 7-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Drew Smyly • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+116
W 3-2 at Toronto Blue JaysCIN: Graham Ashcraft • TOR: Yusei Kikuchi+225
L 1-3 at Toronto Blue JaysCIN: Hunter Greene • TOR: Alek Manoah+230
L 1-2 at Toronto Blue JaysCIN: Luis Castillo • TOR: Hyun Jin Ryu+167

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CWillson ContrerasRest
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • -Michael RuckerUnknown
  • CFMichael Hermosillo10-day IL
  • PAlec Mills60-day IL
  • CYan GomesRest
  • CFJason Heyward10-day IL
  • PEthan Roberts10-day IL
  • SSNico HoernerRest
  • PSean NewcombUnknown

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • DHJake Fraley10-day IL
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • CTyler StephensonRest
  • PNick LodoloOut
  • SSKyle FarmerRest
  • PConnor Overton60-day IL
  • 2BDonovan Solano60-day IL
  • PLucas SimsUnknown
SSE 10 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)82°79°78°76°
Humidity64%67%72%75%
Precipitation32%37%47%42%
ConditionPossible Light RainRainRainRain
WindSSE 10 mphSSE 9 mphSSE 10 mphS 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+105+126+128+134+128+128+134+138.0
Reds-115-150-138-144-138-138-138-138.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+110+133+136+135+129+135+136+138.0
Reds-120-143-149-145-140-145-143-138.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +134 to +126
Reds ML moved from -150 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cubs ML
Reds ML moved from -135 to -145

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-190+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160+1½-149
Reds-1½+165-1½+135-1½+145-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+149
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-175+1½-170+1½-153+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-153+1½-149
Reds-1½+155-1½+150-1½+134-1½+145-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+149

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½-105o8½-110o8½-105o8½-110o8½-110o8½-105o8½+100
Underu8½-115u8½-115u8½-110u8½-115u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-105o8½-118o8½-110o8½+100o8½-105o8½+100o8½+100
Underu8½-105u8½-115u8½-102u8½-110u8½-120u8½-115u8½-102u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120