Cubs at Reds

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
46.4%53.6%
Cubs WinReds Win
3.55Projected Runs 3.93
11Final Score 4
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Marcus Stroman (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-44.881.149

Tyler Mahle (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
92-45.231.349

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 7-4 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Drew Smyly • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez-124
W 4-5 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Merrill Kelly • CHC: Wade Miley-125
L 7-6 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Madison Bumgarner • CHC: Justin Steele-130
L 10-6 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Humberto Castellanos • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-136
L 3-1 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Zac Gallen • CHC: Marcus Stroman-118
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 7-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Drew Smyly • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+116
W 3-2 at Toronto Blue JaysCIN: Graham Ashcraft • TOR: Yusei Kikuchi+225
L 1-3 at Toronto Blue JaysCIN: Hunter Greene • TOR: Alek Manoah+230
L 1-2 at Toronto Blue JaysCIN: Luis Castillo • TOR: Hyun Jin Ryu+167
W 4-2 at Cleveland GuardiansCIN: Tyler Mahle • CLE: Cal Quantrill+125

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CFMichael Hermosillo10-day IL
  • CWillson ContrerasRest
  • SSNico Hoerner10-day IL
  • CFJason Heyward10-day IL
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • CYan GomesUnknown
  • -Michael RuckerUnknown
  • PSean NewcombUnknown
  • PAlec Mills60-day IL
  • PEthan Roberts10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • SSKyle FarmerRest
  • PConnor Overton60-day IL
  • PNick LodoloOut
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • PLucas SimsUnknown
  • 2BDonovan Solano60-day IL
  • DHJake Fraley10-day IL
E 7 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
From LeftModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)77°76°74°72°
Humidity54%58%64%69%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindE 7 mphE 7 mphE 7 mphE 6 mph
Carlos Torres
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-105+100+105+105+105+105+105+109.1
Reds-105-120-115-115-115-115-115-109.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+100+104+102+103+100+102+104+109.1
Reds-110-114-112-113-110-112-110-109.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +100 to -103
Reds ML moved from -110 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +100 to -103
Reds ML moved from -103 to -110

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+145+1½-200+1½-190+1½-200+1½-190+1½-190+1½-190+1½-180
Reds+1½-165-1½+170-1½+165-1½+170-1½+165-1½+165-1½+170-1½+180
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-200+1½-200+1½-205+1½-200+1½-200+1½-200+1½-200+1½-180
Reds-1½+175-1½+175-1½+181-1½+175-1½+175-1½+175-1½+181-1½+180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-104
Underu8-120u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8-115o8½+100o8½+105o8½+100o8½+100o8½+105o8-104
Underu8+100u8-105u8½-120u8½-125u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-120 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-110