Reds at Guardians

Updated

Cincinnati Reds

(77-85)
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
44.4%55.6%
Reds WinGuardians Win
3.37Projected Runs 3.95
4Final Score 2

Cleveland Guardians

(92-69)
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Tyler Mahle (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-45.891.473

Cal Quantrill (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-23.931.282

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 5-4 at Cleveland GuardiansCIN: Connor Overton • CLE: Zach Plesac+145
L 0-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Hunter Greene • PIT: Jose Quintana+140
L 1-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Luis Castillo • PIT: Zach Thompson-119
W 8-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Tyler Mahle • PIT: Mitch Keller+100
W 4-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Connor Overton • PIT: JT Brubaker+128
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Connor Overton • CLE: Zach Plesac-146
L 1-3 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Triston McKenzie • MIN: Joe Ryan+135
W 3-2 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Shane Bieber • MIN: Devin Smeltzer-126
L 8-12 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Sonny Gray+145
L 1-4 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Cal Quantrill • CHW: Lucas Giolito+175

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • PLucas SimsUnknown
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
  • PNick LodoloOut
  • DHJake Fraley10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • RFJosh Naylor10-day IL
NW 6 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From LeftModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)64°67°68°71°
Humidity80%74%69%63%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNW 6 mphNW 5 mphNNW 6 mphS 5 mph
Jerry Meals
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+114+113+121+118+121+121+121+123.5
Guardians-124-135-131-128-131-131-128-123.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+120+125+115+118+118+120+125+123.5
Guardians-130-135-126-128-128-130-126-123.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +120 to +109
Guardians ML moved from -125 to -132

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Reds: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 40.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +120 to +110
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-190+1½-180+1½-176+1½-180+1½-176+1½-176+1½-176+1½-166
Guardians-1½+165-1½+155-1½+156-1½+158-1½+156-1½+156-1½+158-1½+166
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-185+1½-180+1½-186+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-166
Guardians-1½+165-1½+160-1½+164-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+164-1½+166

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-110o8-110o8-105o8-110o8-110o8-105o8+100
Underu8-115u8-110u8-110u8-115u8-110u8-110u8-110u8+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-110o8-120o8-105o8-120o8-110o8-105o8+100
Underu8-115u8-110u8+100u8-115u8+100u8-110u8+100u8+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-104 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-115 to u8-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8-115 to u8-125
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