Guardians at Twins

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
49.9%50.1%
Guardians WinTwins Win
3.82Projected Runs 3.83
3Final Score 2
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Shane Bieber (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-24.131.194

Devin Smeltzer (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 8-12 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Sonny Gray+145
L 1-4 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Cal Quantrill • CHW: Lucas Giolito+175
W 12-9 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Zach Plesac • CHW: Michael Kopech+172
W 3-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Alek Manoah • CLE: Konnor Pilkington+181
W 2-8 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Ross Stripling • CLE: Triston McKenzie+119
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 8-12 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Sonny Gray-153
L 5-0 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Luis Garcia • MIN: Josh Winder+105
L 11-3 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Jose Urquidy • MIN: Chris Archer+107
L 5-0 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Justin Verlander • MIN: Joe Ryan+134
W 3-4 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Daulton Jefferies • MIN: Chris Paddack-155

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • 3BYu Chang10-day IL
  • RFJosh NaylorRest

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PBailey Ober10-day IL
  • SSCarlos Correa10-day IL
  • PChris Paddack60-day IL
  • PDylan BundyOut
  • 1BMiguel Sano10-day IL
  • PDanny CoulombeUnknown
  • -Jhon Romero60-day IL
  • CFKyle Garlick10-day IL
NW 10 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)73°71°68°65°
Humidity34%34%40%47%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNW 10 mphWNW 10 mphW 8 mphNW 7 mph
Ryan Blakney
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-123-136-129-130-129-129-129-123.5
Twins+113+114+119+120+119+119+120+123.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-131-131-126-130-130-130-126-123.5
Twins+120+121+115+120+120+120+121+123.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -122 to -133
Twins ML moved from +121 to +112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -129 to -140
Twins ML moved from +121 to +115

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+120-1½+120-1½+130-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+133
Twins+1½-140+1½-140+1½-150+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-140+1½-133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+119-1½+120-1½+130-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+130-1½+133
Twins+1½-137+1½-140+1½-148+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½-105o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+104
Underu9-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-115u8½-120u8½-120u8½-115u8½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o8½-115o8½-110o8½-105o8½-105o8½-110o8½-105o8½+104
Underu9-120u8½-105u8½-110u8½-115u8½-115u8½-110u8½-105u8½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o9+100
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115