Reds at Guardians

Updated

Cincinnati Reds

(77-85)
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
39.4%60.6%
Reds WinGuardians Win
3.79Projected Runs 4.91
5Final Score 4

Cleveland Guardians

(92-69)
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Connor Overton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-01.591.059

Zach Plesac (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-34.681.347

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 0-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Hunter Greene • PIT: Jose Quintana+140
L 1-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Luis Castillo • PIT: Zach Thompson-119
W 8-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Tyler Mahle • PIT: Mitch Keller+100
W 4-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Connor Overton • PIT: JT Brubaker+128
W 11-14 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+181
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 1-3 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Triston McKenzie • MIN: Joe Ryan+135
W 3-2 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Shane Bieber • MIN: Devin Smeltzer-126
L 8-12 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Sonny Gray+145
L 1-4 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Cal Quantrill • CHW: Lucas Giolito+175
W 12-9 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Zach Plesac • CHW: Michael Kopech+172

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PNick LodoloOut
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • CTyler StephensonUnknown
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • DHJake Fraley10-day IL
  • PLucas SimsUnknown

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • RFJosh NaylorRest
  • DHFranmil ReyesRest
NW 2 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)62°62°61°60°
Humidity51%51%53%55%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 2 mphW 1 mphWNW 2 mphNNE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+152+130+137+142+136+137+142+144.6
Guardians-162-155-148-152-148-148-148-144.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+140+145+134+136+142+145+145+144.6
Guardians-150-155-147-146-155-155-146-144.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +153 to +140
Guardians ML moved from -161 to -168

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +142 to +134
Guardians ML moved from -154 to -160

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-140+1½-145+1½-152+1½-145+1½-152+1½-152+1½-145+1½-138
Guardians-1½+120-1½+125-1½+132-1½+125-1½+132-1½+132-1½+132-1½+138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-155+1½-145+1½-153+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-138
Guardians-1½+135-1½+125-1½+134-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+134-1½+138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8½-105o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-109
Underu8+100u8½-115u8+100u8+100u8+100u8+100u8½-115u8+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8-120o8½-105o8-115o8-120o8-120o8-115o8-109
Underu8-110u8+100u8½-115u8-105u8+100u8+100u8½-115u8+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-120 to o8-130
The Under moved from u8+110 to u8½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8-120
Cardinals at Mets
Nationals at Marlins