Guardians at Twins

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
45.2%54.8%
Guardians WinTwins Win
3.76Projected Runs 4.27
1Final Score 3
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Triston McKenzie (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-22.761.023

Joe Ryan (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
63-22.561.011

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 3-2 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Shane Bieber • MIN: Devin Smeltzer-126
L 8-12 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Sonny Gray+145
L 1-4 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Cal Quantrill • CHW: Lucas Giolito+175
W 12-9 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Zach Plesac • CHW: Michael Kopech+172
W 3-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Alek Manoah • CLE: Konnor Pilkington+181
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Shane Bieber • MIN: Devin Smeltzer+121
W 8-12 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Sonny Gray-153
L 5-0 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Luis Garcia • MIN: Josh Winder+105
L 11-3 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Jose Urquidy • MIN: Chris Archer+107
L 5-0 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Justin Verlander • MIN: Joe Ryan+134

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • RFJosh NaylorRest
  • 3BYu Chang10-day IL
  • CAustin HedgesRest

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PDanny CoulombeUnknown
  • -Jhon Romero60-day IL
  • 1BMiguel Sano10-day IL
  • CFKyle Garlick10-day IL
  • PChris Paddack60-day IL
  • PBailey Ober10-day IL
  • SSCarlos Correa10-day IL
  • PDylan BundyOut
W 11 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
UnknownModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)71°72°73°73°
Humidity33%31%30%30%
Precipitation2%2%2%2%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindW 11 mphWSW 12 mphWNW 14 mphW 14 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+105+122+130+129+129+130+130+133.2
Twins-115-145-141-139-141-141-139-133.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+135+135+131+130+134+134+135+133.2
Twins-145-145-143-140-146-144-140-133.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +139 to +133
Twins ML moved from -115 to -140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Guardians ML
No Steam Moves On Twins ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-210+1½-165+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-154
Twins-1½+175-1½+140-1½+140-1½+145-1½+140-1½+140-1½+145-1½+154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-165+1½-160+1½-163+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160+1½-154
Twins-1½+145-1½+140-1½+144-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½-110o7½-115o7½-110o7½-115o7½-115o7½-110o7½+100
Underu7½+100u7½-110u7½-105u7½-110u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½-110o7½-110o7½-115o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½+100
Underu7½+100u7½-110u7½-110u7½-105u7½-110u7½-110u7½-105u7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-117
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110