Pirates at Marlins

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
40.5%59.5%
Pirates WinMarlins Win
3.66Projected Runs 4.65
5Final Score 1

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
142-65.211.553

Trevor Rogers (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
164-75.571.569

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 8-6 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Jose Quintana • MIL: Eric Lauer+155
W 4-3 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Zach Thompson • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+250
L 3-4 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: JT Brubaker • MIL: Aaron Ashby+195
L 1-5 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Bryse Wilson • CIN: Jeff Hoffman+112
W 4-2 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Roansy Contreras • CIN: Mike Minor-101
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 2-0 at New York MetsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • NYM: Taijuan Walker-102
L 4-5 at New York MetsMIA: Braxton Garrett • NYM: Carlos Carrasco+163
W 5-2 at New York MetsMIA: Pablo Lopez • NYM: Chris Bassitt+146
L 0-10 at New York MetsMIA: Daniel Castano • NYM: Trevor Williams+155
L 5-2 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Shohei Ohtani • MIA: Trevor Rogers+148

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • RFJack SuwinskiRest
  • CFGreg Allen60-day IL
  • SSO'Neil CruzRest
  • CMichael PerezRest
  • CFJake MarisnickUnknown
  • CFBryan Reynolds10-day IL
  • CTyler HeinemanOut

Miami Marlins

Status
  • LFJorge Soler10-day IL
  • PJesus Luzardo60-day IL
  • 2BJazz Chisholm Jr10-day IL
  • PEdward CabreraUnknown
  • PLouis HeadUnknown
SSE 9 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)90°89°87°85°
Humidity66%68%71%71%
Precipitation5%9%8%3%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly Cloudy
WindSSE 9 mphSSE 9 mphSSW 7 mphSSW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+143+145+152+155+150+152+155+154.3
Marlins-155-177-165-165-165-165-165-154.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+142+152+150+148+151+152+152+154.3
Marlins-155-165-165-175-165-162-162-154.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Marlins ML moved from -170 to -177

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +146 to +140
Marlins ML moved from -159 to -165

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-138
Marlins-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-155+1½-145+1½-148+1½-150+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-138
Marlins-1½+135-1½+125-1½+130-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-1½+130-1½+138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½+100o7½+103o7½+105o7½+103o7½+103o7½+105o7½+114
Underu8-110u7½-120u7½-123u7½-125u7½-123u7½-123u7½-120u7½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½-105o7½-108o7½-105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+114
Underu8-115u7½-115u7½-112u7½-115u7½-120u7½-120u7½-112u7½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-110 to o7-120
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7-110