Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
48.0%52.0%
Pirates WinReds Win
4.31Projected Runs 4.52
4Final Score 2
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Roansy Contreras (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-24.091.455

Mike Minor (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-56.821.484

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 16-0 vs New York YankeesNYY: Luis Severino • PIT: Mitch Keller+181
W 2-5 vs New York YankeesNYY: Jameson Taillon • PIT: Jose Quintana+172
L 2-0 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • PIT: Zach Thompson+190
W 4-7 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Ashby • PIT: Bryse Wilson+193
L 19-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • PIT: Roansy Contreras+185
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 8-3 vs New York MetsNYM: David Peterson • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+153
W 0-1 vs New York MetsNYM: Max Scherzer • CIN: Nick Lodolo+197
L 7-4 vs New York MetsNYM: Taijuan Walker • CIN: Hunter Greene+157
W 3-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • CIN: Luis Castillo+155
L 4-1 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Spencer Strider • CIN: Tyler Mahle+168

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CFGreg Allen60-day IL
  • CTyler HeinemanOut
  • PZach ThompsonUnknown

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CFNick SenzelRest
  • -Alexis DiazUnknown
  • CTyler Stephenson10-day IL
  • PArt WarrenUnknown
  • 1BJoey VottoUnknown
  • PJeff Hoffman10-day IL
  • RFAristides Aquino10-day IL
  • PTyler MahleUnknown
  • 2BJonathan IndiaUnknown
NNE 3 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)84°86°88°89°
Humidity70%66%61%58%
Precipitation5%4%2%3%
ConditionHumid and OvercastHumid and OvercastHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindNNE 3 mphNNE 3 mphN 4 mphN 4 mph
Rob Drake
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates-102-110-104-103-103-104-103+100.0
Reds-108-110-106-107-107-106-106+100.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates-105-105-101-104-107-105-101+100.0
Reds-105-105-109-106-103-105-103+100.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Reds ML moved from +101 to -104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Reds ML moved from +100 to -105

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-210-1½+145-1½+149-1½+150-1½+149-1½+149-1½+150-1½+154
Reds-1½+175+1½-170+1½-169+1½-170+1½-169+1½-169+1½-169+1½-154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates-1½+145-1½+150-1½+149+1½-210-1½+150-1½+150-1½+154
Reds+1½-164+1½-170+1½-168-1½+180+1½-170+1½-170+1½-154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9-125o9½+100o9-115o9½+100o9½+100o9-115o9½+104
Underu9+100u9+105u9½-120u9-105u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9-120o9-120o9-125o9-120o9½-105o9-120o9½+104
Underu9+100u9+100u9+100u9+105u9+100u9½-115u9½-115u9½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-121 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9-125
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-120