Royals at Astros

Updated
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
28.1%71.9%
Royals WinAstros Win
2.79Projected Runs 5.05
2Final Score 5
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Kris Bubic (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
111-57.061.869

Justin Verlander (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
1510-32.030.832

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
W 7-4 at Houston AstrosKCR: Brad Keller • HOU: Cristian Javier+240
L 7-9 at Houston AstrosKCR: Zack Greinke • HOU: Luis Garcia+220
L 6-7 at Houston AstrosKCR: Jon Heasley • HOU: Jake Odorizzi+216
W 7-4 at Detroit TigersKCR: Brady Singer • DET: Tarik Skubal+133
L 3-4 at Detroit TigersKCR: Kris Bubic • DET: Beau Brieske+119
Houston Astros
Money Line
L 7-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brad Keller • HOU: Cristian Javier-260
W 7-9 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Zack Greinke • HOU: Luis Garcia-242
W 6-7 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Jon Heasley • HOU: Jake Odorizzi-240
W 2-4 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Jose Suarez • HOU: Framber Valdez-220
W 1-9 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Patrick Sandoval • HOU: Jose Urquidy-154

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • DHHunter DozierRest
  • PDaniel LynchUnknown
  • PJake Brentz60-day IL
  • 3BBobby Witt Jr.Unknown
  • CFMichael A. TaylorRest
  • CSalvador Perez10-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • RFKyle TuckerRest
  • LFMichael Brantley10-day IL
  • CJason Castro10-day IL
  • SSJeremy PenaUnknown
SSE 6 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)94°95°94°95°
Humidity55%53%55%53%
Precipitation2%2%3%3%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindSSE 6 mphSSE 7 mphSSE 9 mphSSE 10 mph
Marvin Hudson
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+295+270+275+285+260+275+285+290.7
Astros-334-345-310-315-310-310-310-290.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+275+290+276+278+300+280+300+290.7
Astros-350-350-310-355-380-320-310-290.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +280 to +270
Astros ML moved from -330 to -340

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Royals: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 40.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +292 to +276
Astros ML moved from -330 to -350

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½+130+1½+130+1½+129+1½+125+1½+129+1½+129+1½+130+1½+133
Astros-1½-150-1½-150-1½-149-1½-145-1½-149-1½-149-1½-145-1½-133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½+130+1½+135+1½+125+1½+130+1½+140+1½+125+1½+140+1½+133
Astros-1½-150-1½-155-1½-143-1½-150-1½-160-1½-145-1½-143-1½-133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o7½-115o7½-108o7½-115o7½-108o7½-108o7½-108o7½-104
Underu8-105u7½-105u7½-112u7½-105u7½-112u7½-112u7½-105u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o7½-115o8+105o8+105o7½-125o7½-120o8+105o7½-104
Underu8-105u7½-105u8-125u8-125u7½+105u7½+100u7½+105u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-110 to u7½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+105 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u8-115 to u8-125