Guardians at Padres

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
44.1%55.9%
Guardians WinPadres Win
3.54Projected Runs 4.16
3Final Score 6
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Tanner Bibee (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-13.051.128

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
83-24.351.331

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Brandon Bielak • CLE: Shane Bieber-116
L 6-4 vs Houston AstrosHOU: J.P. France • CLE: Triston McKenzie-120
W 9-10 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Cristian Javier • CLE: Logan Allen-102
W 3-10 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Matt Dermody • CLE: Aaron Civale-145
W 2-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • CLE: Tanner Bibee-133
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 4-5 at Colorado RockiesSDP: Blake Snell • COL: Dinelson Lamet-190
W 3-2 at Colorado RockiesSDP: Ryan Weathers • COL: Kyle Freeland-135
W 9-6 at Colorado RockiesSDP: Yu Darvish • COL: Austin Gomber-187
W 3-10 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: George Kirby • SDP: Michael Wacha-103
L 4-1 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • SDP: Joe Musgrove-123

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • CMike ZuninoRest
  • PCal QuantrillUnknown
  • PPeyton Battenfield60-day IL
  • 2BAndres GimenezRest

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PSeth LugoUnknown
  • PLuis GarciaUnknown
  • DHNelson Cruz10-day IL
NW 9 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)67°65°64°63°
Humidity69%72%75%78%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindNW 9 mphNW 9 mphNW 7 mphNW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+134+150+148+153+151+153+153+157.9
Padres-145-160-180-166-161-166-160-157.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+135+155+152+140+152+145+155+157.9
Padres-160-170-167-165-166-170-165-157.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +150 to +144
Padres ML moved from -168 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +145 to +135
Padres ML moved from -155 to -165

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-145+1½-143+1½-150+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-143+1½-133
Padres-1½+125-1½+127-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-1½+133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-155+1½-150+1½-150+1½-155+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-133
Padres-1½+135-1½+130-1½+131-1½+130-1½+120-1½+125-1½+131-1½+133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o7½-108o7½-110o7½-112o7½-110o7½-112o7½-108o7½-102
Underu8-120u7½-108u7½-110u7½-108u7½-110u7½-108u7½-108u7½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½-115o7½-110o7½-115o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-102
Underu7½-105u7½-105u7½-110u7½-105u7½-110u7½-110u7½-105u7½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½-103 to u7½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110