Red Sox at Guardians

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
48.8%51.2%
Red Sox WinGuardians Win
3.81Projected Runs 3.94
2Final Score 5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Kutter Crawford (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-23.480.95

Tanner Bibee (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
71-13.21.119

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 5-4 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: James Paxton • CLE: Shane Bieber-104
L 4-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Shane McClanahan • BOS: Brayan Bello+137
L 6-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Taj Bradley • BOS: Tanner Houck+112
L 4-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Tyler Glasnow • BOS: Kutter Crawford+142
W 5-8 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Trevor Kelley • BOS: Garrett Whitlock-114
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: James Paxton • CLE: Shane Bieber-103
W 2-1 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Triston McKenzie • MIN: Joe Ryan+124
W 4-2 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Logan Allen • MIN: Sonny Gray+116
L 0-1 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Bailey Ober+118
L 6-7 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Tanner Bibee • MIN: Pablo Lopez+127

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PJohn SchreiberUnknown
  • PJoely RodriguezUnknown
  • PChris SaleUnknown
  • LFAdam Duvall60-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PCal QuantrillUnknown
  • SSAmed RosarioUnknown
  • PPeyton Battenfield60-day IL
N 12 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
InModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)66°64°62°60°
Humidity43%44%47%51%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindN 12 mphN 13 mphN 11 mphN 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+120+122+113+125+120+125+125+129.3
Guardians-130-132-135-135-130-135-130-129.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+119+125+122+126+125+122+126+129.3
Guardians-130-135-133-150-135-142-133-129.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +125 to +119
Guardians ML moved from -130 to -140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +125 to +118
Guardians ML moved from -128 to -140

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-180+1½-178+1½-180+1½-174+1½-175+1½-174+1½-174+1½-161
Guardians-1½+160-1½+157-1½+155-1½+154-1½+155-1½+154-1½+157-1½+161
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-180+1½-180+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-161
Guardians-1½+160-1½+160-1½+155-1½+152-1½+155-1½+150-1½+160-1½+161

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o7½-118o7½-120o8-105o7½-120o8-105o7½-118o8+104
Underu8-120u7½+102u7½+100u8-115u7½+100u8-115u8-115u8-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o7½-130o7½-125o7½-125o7½-125o7½-120o7½-120o8+104
Underu8-120u7½+110u7½+105u7½+105u7½+105u7½+100u7½+110u8-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o7½-125
The Under moved from u8-120 to u7½-120